Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 28
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
IFK Goteborg host Malmo FF on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: IFK Goteborg 38%, draw 29%, Malmo FF 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: IFK Goteborg €653K, Malmo FF €937K.
- Home advantage makes IFK Goteborg the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (Allsvenskan): IFK Goteborg rank #13 of 16, Malmo FF #3.
- IFK Goteborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. IFK Goteborg goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: IFK Goteborg 1677 · Malmo FF 1719
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
IFK Goteborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 (Good) · Elo 1724
Malmo FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1762
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
IFK Goteborg
8th in Allsvenskan · 36 pts from 24
- 17 OctDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1690
- 9 OctWVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1649
- 19 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1663
- 12 SepWHalmstad Allsvenskan1649
- 7 SepWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1619
Malmo FF
7th in Allsvenskan · 37 pts from 25
- 23 OctDIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1734
- 18 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1731
- 12 OctWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1714
- 19 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1744
- 13 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 36 /24 | 43.4 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 9th |
| Malmo FF | 37 /25 | 44.7 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
IFK Goteborg: balanced profile (how Joachim Bjorklund plays) · Malmo FF: possession-based (how G. Helstrup plays)