Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23
IF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Borås Arena, Boras
IF ElfsborgTeam 1728HalmstadTeam 1459- Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 3'
- Pascal Gregor 41' (og)
- Leo Hakan Ostman 61', 78'
We gave IF Elfsborg 63% to win: they did.
- Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 1597 +41* assist Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27*3'IF Elfsborg:Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 1597 +41* assist Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27*
- Pascal Gregor 1459 −20* (own goal)41'IF Elfsborg:Pascal Gregor 1459 −20* (own goal)
- 45'Marvin Illary 1365 −8* for Omar Faraj 1501 −14*Halmstad:Marvin Illary 1365 −8* for Omar Faraj 1501 −14*
- 45'Ajdin Zeljkovic 1474 −21* for Ludvig Arvidsson 1425 −9*Halmstad:Ajdin Zeljkovic 1474 −21* for Ludvig Arvidsson 1425 −9*
- 56'Gabriel Wallentin 1503 −21*Halmstad:Gabriel Wallentin 1503 −21*
- Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27* assist Niklas Hult 1713 +15*61'IF Elfsborg:Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27* assist Niklas Hult 1713 +15*
- Ossian nordvall 1479 0* for Ari Sigurpalsson 1649 +4*69'IF Elfsborg:Ossian nordvall 1479 0* for Ari Sigurpalsson 1649 +4*
- Simon Hedlund 1546 −2* for Arbër Zeneli 1705 +6*69'IF Elfsborg:Simon Hedlund 1546 −2* for Arbër Zeneli 1705 +6*
- Sebastian Holmen 1689 −6* for Rasmus Wikström 1804 +9*69'IF Elfsborg:Sebastian Holmen 1689 −6* for Rasmus Wikström 1804 +9*
- 77'Oliver Kapsimalis 1309 −8* for Rami Kaib 1511 −21*Halmstad:Oliver Kapsimalis 1309 −8* for Rami Kaib 1511 −21*
- Simon Olsson 1772 −8* for Julius Beck 1646 +28*77'IF Elfsborg:Simon Olsson 1772 −8* for Julius Beck 1646 +28*
- Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27* assist Alexander Jensen 1846 +10*78'IF Elfsborg:Leo Hakan Ostman 1706 +27* assist Alexander Jensen 1846 +10*
- 82'Malte Persson 1264 −8* for Rocco Ascone 1480 −17*Halmstad:Malte Persson 1264 −8* for Rocco Ascone 1480 −17*
- 82'Niilo Mäenpää 1469 −10* for Tom Trybull 1484 −23*Halmstad:Niilo Mäenpää 1469 −10* for Tom Trybull 1484 −23*
- Jonathan Esenga 1466 −6* for Niklas Hult 1713 +15*87'IF Elfsborg:Jonathan Esenga 1466 −6* for Niklas Hult 1713 +15*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 23% · 14%(IF Elfsborg · draw · Halmstad)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 4–0 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: IF Elfsborg €729K, Halmstad €367K.
- IF Elfsborg's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
IF Elfsborg
5th in Allsvenskan · 37 pts from 22
- 20 SepWDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1696
- 13 SepWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1676
- 6 SepLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1691
- 29 AugWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1638
- 23 AugDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1636
Halmstad
16th in Allsvenskan · 14 pts from 22
- 20 SepWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1463
- 12 SepLIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1489
- 5 SepLDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1492
- 29 AugWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1473
- 22 AugDOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1436
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 37 /22 | 48.7 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 4th |
| Halmstad | 14 /22 | 21.5 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
IF Elfsborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1795
Halmstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1496
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
IF Elfsborg: direct (how Bjorn Hamberg plays) · Halmstad: direct · low-volume (how Stuart William Baxter plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.