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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Hull City 2–2 Everton

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · MKM Stadium, Hull

Hull City crestHull CityTeam 2068
2–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Everton crestEvertonTeam 2260

Match story

Hull City · draw · Everton

Before kick-off: 27% · 29% · 44%

Live chances: Hull City 2%, draw 96%, Everton 2% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 29%, Everton 44%3' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 44%4' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 44%5' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 44%6' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 43%7' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 43%8' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 43%9' · 0–0 · Hull City 27%, draw 30%, Everton 43%10' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 31%, Everton 43%11' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 31%, Everton 43%12' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 31%, Everton 43%13' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 31%, Everton 42%14' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 31%, Everton 42%15' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 42%16' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 42%17' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 42%18' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 42%19' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 41%20' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 32%, Everton 41%21' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 33%, Everton 41%22' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 33%, Everton 41%23' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 33%, Everton 41%24' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 33%, Everton 41%26' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 34%, Everton 40%27' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 34%, Everton 40%28' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 34%, Everton 40%29' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 34%, Everton 40%30' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 35%, Everton 40%31' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 35%, Everton 39%32' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 35%, Everton 39%33' · 0–0 · Hull City 26%, draw 36%, Everton 39%34' · 0–1 · Hull City 9%, draw 22%, Everton 69%35' · 0–1 · Hull City 9%, draw 22%, Everton 69%36' · 0–1 · Hull City 9%, draw 22%, Everton 69%37' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 37%, Everton 38%38' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 37%, Everton 38%40' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 38%, Everton 37%41' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 38%, Everton 37%42' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 38%, Everton 37%43' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 39%, Everton 37%44' · 0–0 · Hull City 25%, draw 39%, Everton 36%45' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 39%, Everton 36%45+1' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 40%, Everton 36%45+2' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 40%, Everton 35%45+3' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%45+4' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%45+5' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%HT · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%46' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%47' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 41%, Everton 35%48' · 0–0 · Hull City 24%, draw 42%, Everton 34%49' · 1–0 · Hull City 65%, draw 25%, Everton 10%50' · 1–0 · Hull City 65%, draw 25%, Everton 10%51' · 1–0 · Hull City 66%, draw 25%, Everton 10%52' · 1–0 · Hull City 66%, draw 25%, Everton 9%53' · 1–0 · Hull City 66%, draw 25%, Everton 9%54' · 1–0 · Hull City 67%, draw 25%, Everton 9%55' · 1–0 · Hull City 67%, draw 24%, Everton 8%56' · 1–1 · Hull City 22%, draw 47%, Everton 31%57' · 1–1 · Hull City 22%, draw 47%, Everton 31%58' · 1–1 · Hull City 22%, draw 48%, Everton 30%59' · 1–1 · Hull City 21%, draw 49%, Everton 30%60' · 1–1 · Hull City 21%, draw 49%, Everton 30%61' · 1–1 · Hull City 21%, draw 50%, Everton 29%62' · 1–1 · Hull City 21%, draw 51%, Everton 29%63' · 1–1 · Hull City 20%, draw 51%, Everton 28%64' · 1–1 · Hull City 20%, draw 52%, Everton 28%65' · 1–1 · Hull City 20%, draw 53%, Everton 27%66' · 1–1 · Hull City 20%, draw 54%, Everton 27%67' · 1–1 · Hull City 19%, draw 55%, Everton 26%68' · 1–1 · Hull City 19%, draw 55%, Everton 26%69' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 18%, Everton 78%70' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 18%, Everton 79%71' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 18%, Everton 79%72' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 18%, Everton 80%73' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 17%, Everton 80%74' · 1–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 17%, Everton 81%75' · 2–2 · Hull City 16%, draw 62%, Everton 22%76' · 2–2 · Hull City 16%, draw 63%, Everton 21%77' · 2–2 · Hull City 15%, draw 64%, Everton 20%78' · 2–2 · Hull City 15%, draw 66%, Everton 20%79' · 2–2 · Hull City 14%, draw 67%, Everton 19%80' · 2–2 · Hull City 14%, draw 68%, Everton 18%81' · 2–2 · Hull City 13%, draw 70%, Everton 17%82' · 2–2 · Hull City 13%, draw 71%, Everton 16%83' · 2–2 · Hull City 12%, draw 72%, Everton 16%84' · 2–2 · Hull City 11%, draw 74%, Everton 15%85' · 2–2 · Hull City 11%, draw 75%, Everton 14%86' · 2–2 · Hull City 10%, draw 77%, Everton 13%87' · 2–2 · Hull City 9%, draw 78%, Everton 12%88' · 2–2 · Hull City 9%, draw 80%, Everton 11%89' · 2–2 · Hull City 8%, draw 82%, Everton 10%90' · 2–2 · Hull City 7%, draw 84%, Everton 9%90+1' · 2–2 · Hull City 6%, draw 86%, Everton 8%90+2' · 2–2 · Hull City 5%, draw 89%, Everton 6%90+3' · 2–2 · Hull City 4%, draw 91%, Everton 5%90+4' · 2–2 · Hull City 3%, draw 93%, Everton 4%90+5' · 2–2 · Hull City 2%, draw 96%, Everton 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Everton 44% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 13'Hull City:Matt Crooks 2056 −9*
  2. 21'Hull City:Oliver McBurnie 2053 +3
  3. 48'Hull City:Joe Gelhardt 1975 +3* assist Sorba Thomas 1995 +13
  4. 55'Everton:Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 2398 −11* assist Ainsley Maitland-Niles 2238 −9*
  5. 64'Hull City:Elliot Stroud 1975 −6* for Ryan Giles 2152 −5*
  6. 64'Hull City:Mohamed Belloumi 2006 −4* for Joe Gelhardt 1975 +3*
  7. 65'Hull City:Tim Iroegbunam 1971 −6* for Matt Crooks 2056 −9*
  8. 66'Everton:Tyrique George 1868 −8* for Brennan Johnson 2235 0
  9. 68'Everton:Thierno Barry 2372 −9* assist Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 2398 −11*
  10. 74'Hull City:Mohamed Belloumi 2006 −4* assist Elliot Stroud 1975 −6*
  11. 75'Hull City:Hidemasa Morita 2268 −10* for Regan Slater 2119 −5*
  12. 78'Everton:Jake O'Brien 2414 0 for Ainsley Maitland-Niles 2238 −9*
  13. 78'Everton:Hayden Hackney 2096 −8* for Harrison Armstrong 2175 −8*
  14. 86'Everton:Charly Alcaraz 2183 −8* for Thierno Barry 2372 −9*
  15. 86'Hull City:Robinio Vaz 1819 −7* for Sorba Thomas 1995 +13
  16. 86'Everton:Tyler Dibling 1817 −8* for Jack Grealish 2391 −11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GK. Tzolakis2332+2
DL. Coyle2051−5*
DS. Ajayi2072−7*
DJ. Egan2048−1
DN. Mendy2058−3*
DR. Giles2152−5*
MJ. Gelhardt1975+3*
MM. Crooks2056−9*
MR. Slater2119−5*
MS. Thomas1995+13
FO. McBurnie2053+3
CS. Jakirović21080*
GJ. Pickford2500−3
DA. Maitland-Niles2238−9*
DJ. Tarkowski2336−14*
DM. Keane2195−13*
DJ. Branthwaite23310
MJ. Garner2386−2
MH. Armstrong2175−8*
MB. Johnson22350
MK. Dewsbury-Hall2398−11*
MJ. Grealish2391−11*
FT. Barry2372−9*
CD. Moyes2366−9*
Before kick-off: 27% · 29% · 44%(Hull City · draw · Everton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Hull City €4.6M, Everton €22.9M.
  • Everton were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Hull City

10th in Premier League · 8 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLNewcastle 2056
  • 12 SepDChelsea 2058
  • 8 SepLSunderland 1938
  • 5 SepDAston Villa 2060
  • 29 AugWCoventry 2058

Everton

8th in Premier League · 9 pts from 5

  • 19 SepWIpswich 2328
  • 16 SepWWolves 2272
  • 12 SepDTottenham 2271
  • 6 SepDManchester United 2259
  • 29 AugDBournemouth 2264

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Hull City8 /535.40%0%64%20th
Everton9 /551.90%8%2%10th
Hull City
Everton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis

Hull City · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2330

J. Garner
J. Garner

Everton · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2388

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sergej Jakirović

Coach DNA: balanced profile

David William Moyes

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Hull City: balanced profile (how Sergej Jakirović plays) · Everton: direct (how David William Moyes plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.