Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Hull City vs Brighton
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · MKM Stadium, Hull
Hull City host Brighton on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hull City 16%, draw 23%, Brighton 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hull City €5.2M, Brighton €29.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hull City goals first.
- 0–112%
- 0–211%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–37%
- 0–07%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Hull City 2028 · Brighton 2412
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hull City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 2325
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Elite) · Elo 2380
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hull City
13th in Premier League · 11 pts from 10
- 7 NovLArsenal Premier League2051
- 31 OctDIpswich Premier League2066
- 25 OctDBrentford Premier League2045
- 17 OctLFulham Premier League2049
- 11 OctDEverton Premier League2069
Brighton
2nd in Premier League · 22 pts from 10
- 8 NovWBrentford Premier League2424
- 5 NovWGetafe UEFA Conference League2313
- 31 OctWManchester City Premier League2389
- 28 OctDManchester City England League Cup2271
- 25 OctLLiverpool Premier League2409
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 11 /10 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 20th |
| Brighton | 22 /10 | 68.0 | 2% | 80% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hull City: balanced profile (how Sergej Jakirović plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)