League One · Regular Season - 8
Huddersfield vs Luton
Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Accu Stadium, Huddersfield
Huddersfield host Luton on Tue 3 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Huddersfield 42%, draw 29%, Luton 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Huddersfield €662K, Luton €604K.
- Home advantage makes Huddersfield the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Huddersfield goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Huddersfield 1849 · Luton 1856
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Huddersfield · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1858
Luton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1888
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Huddersfield
3rd in League One · 19 pts from 10
- 17 OctWPlymouth England League One1830
- 10 OctDSheffield Wednesday England League One1816
- 6 OctWRochdale England EFL Trophy1773
- 3 OctWBurton Albion England League One1798
- 19 SepLBromley England League One1804
Luton
16th in League One · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1824
- 10 OctWWycombe England League One1783
- 3 OctDColchester England EFL Trophy1729
- 22 SepWIpswich Town U21 England EFL Trophy1767
- 19 SepLBradford England League One1807
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield | 19 /10 | 73.8 | 15% | 54% | 0% | 2nd |
| Luton | 11 /9 | 65.7 | 3% | 18% | 1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Huddersfield: balanced profile (how Liam Manning plays) · Luton: balanced profile (how Jack Andrew Garry Wilshere plays)