Primera División · Regular Season - 26
Huachipato vs D. La Serena
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Las Higueras, Talcahuano
Huachipato host D. La Serena on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Huachipato 37%, draw 29%, D. La Serena 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Huachipato €287K, D. La Serena €321K.
- Home advantage makes Huachipato the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Huachipato goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Huachipato 1546 · D. La Serena 1546
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Huachipato · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1565
D. La Serena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1542
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Huachipato
10th in Primera División · 31 pts from 23
- 10 OctWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1513
- 2 OctWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1488
- 16 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1464
- 6 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1464
- 22 AugLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1517
D. La Serena
11th in Primera División · 30 pts from 24
- 11 OctLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1557
- 13 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1581
- 6 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1563
- 31 AugWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1544
- 23 AugDCobresal Chile Primera Division1551
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 31 /23 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 10th |
| D. La Serena | 30 /24 | 37.1 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Huachipato: balanced profile (how Jaime Eusebio García Arévalo plays) · D. La Serena: dribble-heavy (how Francisco Andrés Bozán Santibáñez plays)