Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Huachipato vs Concepción
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Talcahuano
Huachipato host Concepción on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Huachipato 33%, draw 29%, Concepción 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Huachipato €289K, Concepción €246K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Huachipato goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Huachipato 1528 · Concepción 1581
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Huachipato · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1525
Concepción · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1590
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Huachipato
11th in Primera División · 33 pts from 26
- 8 NovLUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1533
- 1 NovDD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1522
- 23 OctDA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1542
- 10 OctWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1505
- 2 OctWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1481
Concepción
8th in Primera División · 38 pts from 27
- 7 NovWEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1551
- 2 NovWPalestino Chile Primera Division1521
- 24 OctLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1552
- 11 OctDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1582
- 13 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1543
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 33 /26 | 36.6 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 11th |
| Concepción | 38 /27 | 41.6 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Huachipato: balanced profile (how J. García plays) · Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays)