Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Shell Energy Stadium, Houston
Houston Dynamo host St. Louis City on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Houston Dynamo 43%, draw 28%, St. Louis City 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Houston Dynamo €2.0M, St. Louis City €2.4M.
- Home advantage makes Houston Dynamo the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Houston Dynamo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Houston Dynamo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Houston Dynamo 1937 · St. Louis City 1958
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Houston Dynamo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2030
St. Louis City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2063
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Houston Dynamo
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 18 OctDFC Dallas MLS1973
- 15 OctDSan Diego MLS1970
- 11 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1990
- 27 SepLSporting Kansas City MLS1990
- 20 SepDFC Cincinnati MLS2005
St. Louis City
2nd in MLS · 51 pts from 30
- 17 OctLMinnesota United FC MLS1879
- 15 OctDVancouver Whitecaps MLS2037
- 11 OctWLos Angeles Galaxy MLS2012
- 30 SepWNew York Red Bulls MLS1996
- 20 SepWToronto FC MLS1946
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 47 /30 | 52.8 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 12th |
| St. Louis City | 51 /30 | 57.2 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Houston Dynamo: possession-based (how B. Olsen plays) · St. Louis City: direct (how Yoann Damet plays)