Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Shell Energy Stadium, Houston
Houston Dynamo host Minnesota United FC on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Houston Dynamo 52%, draw 26%, Minnesota United FC 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Houston Dynamo €2.0M, Minnesota United FC €2.0M.
- All 11 of Houston Dynamo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Houston Dynamo goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Houston Dynamo 1956 · Minnesota United FC 1868
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Houston Dynamo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2030
Minnesota United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1920
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Houston Dynamo
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 18 OctDFC Dallas MLS1973
- 15 OctDSan Diego MLS1970
- 11 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1990
- 27 SepLSporting Kansas City MLS1990
- 20 SepDFC Cincinnati MLS2005
Minnesota United FC
13th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 17 OctWSt. Louis City MLS1867
- 15 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1828
- 11 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1859
- 27 SepLSeattle Sounders MLS1860
- 20 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1916
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 47 /30 | 53.0 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 11th |
| Minnesota United FC | 34 /30 | 39.1 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 25th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Houston Dynamo: possession-based (how Benjamin Robert Olsen plays) · Minnesota United FC: direct (how Cameron Knowles plays)