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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel crestHolstein KielTeam 1722
0–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Hertha BSC crestHertha BSCTeam 1890

Match story

Holstein Kiel · draw · Hertha BSC

Before kick-off: 31% · 28% · 41%

Live chances: Holstein Kiel 3%, draw 93%, Hertha BSC 4% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 28%, Hertha BSC 41%3' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 41%4' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 41%5' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 40%6' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 40%7' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 40%8' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 40%9' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 40%10' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 40%11' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 40%12' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 40%13' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 40%14' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 39%15' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 30%, Hertha BSC 39%16' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 31%, Hertha BSC 39%17' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 31%, Hertha BSC 39%18' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 31%, Hertha BSC 39%19' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 31%, Hertha BSC 39%20' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 31%, Hertha BSC 39%21' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 32%, Hertha BSC 39%22' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 32%, Hertha BSC 38%23' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 32%, Hertha BSC 38%24' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 32%, Hertha BSC 38%25' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 32%, Hertha BSC 38%26' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 33%, Hertha BSC 38%27' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 30%, draw 33%, Hertha BSC 38%28' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 33%, Hertha BSC 38%29' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 33%, Hertha BSC 37%30' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 33%, Hertha BSC 37%31' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 34%, Hertha BSC 37%32' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 34%, Hertha BSC 37%33' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 34%, Hertha BSC 37%34' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 35%, Hertha BSC 37%35' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 35%, Hertha BSC 36%36' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 35%, Hertha BSC 36%37' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 35%, Hertha BSC 36%38' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 29%, draw 36%, Hertha BSC 36%39' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 36%, Hertha BSC 36%40' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 36%, Hertha BSC 35%41' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 37%, Hertha BSC 35%42' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 37%, Hertha BSC 35%43' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 37%, Hertha BSC 35%44' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 38%, Hertha BSC 35%45' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 38%, Hertha BSC 34%45+1' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 28%, draw 38%, Hertha BSC 34%45+2' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 27%, draw 39%, Hertha BSC 34%HT · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 27%, draw 39%, Hertha BSC 33%47' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 27%, draw 40%, Hertha BSC 33%48' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 27%, draw 40%, Hertha BSC 33%49' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 27%, draw 41%, Hertha BSC 33%50' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 26%, draw 41%, Hertha BSC 32%51' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 26%, draw 42%, Hertha BSC 32%52' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 26%, draw 42%, Hertha BSC 32%53' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 26%, draw 43%, Hertha BSC 31%54' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 26%, draw 44%, Hertha BSC 31%55' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 25%, draw 44%, Hertha BSC 31%56' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 25%, draw 45%, Hertha BSC 30%57' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 25%, draw 46%, Hertha BSC 30%58' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 24%, draw 46%, Hertha BSC 29%59' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 24%, draw 47%, Hertha BSC 29%60' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 24%, draw 48%, Hertha BSC 29%61' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 24%, draw 48%, Hertha BSC 28%62' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 23%, draw 49%, Hertha BSC 28%63' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 23%, draw 50%, Hertha BSC 27%64' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 23%, draw 50%, Hertha BSC 27%65' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 22%, draw 51%, Hertha BSC 26%66' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 22%, draw 52%, Hertha BSC 26%67' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 22%, draw 53%, Hertha BSC 26%68' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 21%, draw 54%, Hertha BSC 25%69' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 21%, draw 55%, Hertha BSC 25%70' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 20%, draw 56%, Hertha BSC 24%71' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 20%, draw 56%, Hertha BSC 24%72' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 20%, draw 57%, Hertha BSC 23%73' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 19%, draw 58%, Hertha BSC 22%74' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 19%, draw 59%, Hertha BSC 22%75' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 18%, draw 61%, Hertha BSC 21%76' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 18%, draw 62%, Hertha BSC 21%77' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 17%, draw 63%, Hertha BSC 20%78' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 17%, draw 64%, Hertha BSC 19%79' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 16%, draw 65%, Hertha BSC 19%80' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 15%, draw 67%, Hertha BSC 18%81' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 15%, draw 68%, Hertha BSC 17%82' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 14%, draw 69%, Hertha BSC 16%83' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 13%, draw 71%, Hertha BSC 16%84' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 13%, draw 72%, Hertha BSC 15%85' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 12%, draw 74%, Hertha BSC 14%86' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 11%, draw 76%, Hertha BSC 13%87' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 11%, draw 77%, Hertha BSC 12%88' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 10%, draw 79%, Hertha BSC 11%89' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 9%, draw 81%, Hertha BSC 10%90' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 8%, draw 83%, Hertha BSC 9%90+1' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 7%, draw 86%, Hertha BSC 8%90+2' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 6%, draw 88%, Hertha BSC 6%90+3' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 5%, draw 90%, Hertha BSC 5%90+4' · 0–0 · Holstein Kiel 3%, draw 93%, Hertha BSC 4%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 93% · 4%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Hertha BSC 41% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 34'Hertha BSC:Deyovaisio Zeefuik 1867 −1
  2. 38'Holstein Kiel:Sebastian Schonlau 1788 −11*
  3. 50'Holstein Kiel:David Zec 1865 0 for Sebastian Schonlau 1788 −11*
  4. 64'Holstein Kiel:Gyan de Regt 1776 0 for Guillermo Balzi 1795 0
  5. 64'Holstein Kiel:Ikem Ugoh 1636 0 for Till Wiese 1576 +1
  6. 68'Holstein Kiel:David Zec 1865 0
  7. 69'Hertha BSC:Jan Luca Schuler 1811 −1 for Sebastian Gronning 1824 −9*
  8. 69'Hertha BSC:Mads Valentin Pedersen 1867 −2 for Julian Eitschberger 1957 0
  9. 76'Hertha BSC:Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 1412 0 for Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 1886 −1
  10. 82'Holstein Kiel:Giorgi Kvilitaia 1601 −4 for Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen 1750 +1
  11. 82'Holstein Kiel:Mark Richter Montserrat 1583 −7* for Adrian Kapralik 1780 +1
  12. 89'Hertha BSC:Soufian gouram 1654 0 for Oluwaseun Adewumi 1736 0
  13. 90'Hertha BSC:Paul Seguin 1905 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-5-1Formations4-2-3-1
GT. Weiner1788+2
DH. Sekine1761+1
DS. Schonlau1788−11*
DN. Madsen1672+1
DLeon Parduzi1563+4
MA. Kaprálik1780+1
MG. Balzi17950
MJ. Meffert1748−3
MT. Wiese1576+1
MJ. Therkelsen1750+1
FP. Harres1792+1
CT. Walter1759+1
GM. Gersbeck1937−1
DJ. Eitschberger19570
DL. Gechter1989−1
DN. Kolbe1890−2
DD. Zeefuik1867−1
MP. Seguin1905−4
MK. Sessa19010
MO. Adewumi17360
MJ. Þorsteinsson1886−1
MJ. Brekalo2018−2
FS. Grønning1824−9*
CS. Leitl1984−1
Before kick-off: 31% · 28% · 41%(Holstein Kiel · draw · Hertha BSC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Holstein Kiel €1.0M, Hertha BSC €1.9M.
  • Home advantage made Holstein Kiel the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
  • Hertha BSC had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Holstein Kiel

18th in 2. Bundesliga · 4 pts from 7

  • 9 OctLEintracht Braunschweig 1771
  • 19 SepDVfL Osnabrück 1768
  • 13 SepL1. FC Heidenheim 1773
  • 5 SepD1. FC Nürnberg 1809
  • 30 AugL1. FC Magdeburg 1821

Hertha BSC

1st in 2. Bundesliga · 21 pts from 7

  • 11 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1897
  • 19 SepWDynamo Dresden 1880
  • 13 SepWVfL Osnabrück 1845
  • 6 SepW1. FC Magdeburg 1843
  • 28 AugWEintracht Braunschweig 1815

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Holstein Kiel4 /739.7<1%1%28%16th
Hertha BSC21 /762.140%88%0%1st
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Harres
P. Harres

Holstein Kiel · +2.8 (Good) · Elo 1791

J. Brekalo
J. Brekalo

Hertha BSC · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2020

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Tim Laszlo Walter

Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy

Stefan Leitl

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Holstein Kiel: balanced profile (how Tim Laszlo Walter plays) · Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.