DFB-Pokal · Round of 32
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Holstein KielTeam 17701899 HoffenheimTeam 2125Holstein Kiel host 1899 Hoffenheim on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (DFB-Pokal); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Holstein Kiel 20%, draw 25%, 1899 Hoffenheim 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Holstein Kiel €1.2M, 1899 Hoffenheim €13.7M.
- Draw chance 25%, above the DFB-Pokal average of 19% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Holstein Kiel goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.2 pts
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Holstein Kiel · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1826
1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.4 (Good) · Elo 2207
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Holstein Kiel
13th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 9
- 25 OctWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1734
- 16 OctDHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1729
- 9 OctLEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1771
- 19 SepDVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1768
- 13 SepL1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1773
1899 Hoffenheim
10th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 7
- 25 OctWBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2115
- 22 OctWLyon UEFA Europa League2078
- 18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2082
- 15 OctLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2083
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Holstein Kiel: balanced profile (how T. Walter plays) · 1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays)