3. Liga · Regular Season - 10
Hoffenheim II 2–1 Verl
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim
Hoffenheim IITeam 1489VerlTeam 1518- Almin mesanovic 22'
We gave Hoffenheim II 42% to win: they did.
- Yasin Zor 1508 +78 (pen.)5'Hoffenheim II:Yasin Zor 1508 +78 (pen.)
- Yasin Zor 1508 +78 assist Natnael Abraha 1460 +3115'Hoffenheim II:Yasin Zor 1508 +78 assist Natnael Abraha 1460 +31
- 22'Almin mesanovic 1291 0 assist Joshua Eze 1698 −7Verl:Almin mesanovic 1291 0 assist Joshua Eze 1698 −7
- Natnael Abraha 1460 +3124'Hoffenheim II:Natnael Abraha 1460 +31
- Blessing Makanda Maleko 1461 +3042'Hoffenheim II:Blessing Makanda Maleko 1461 +30
- Yasin Zor 1508 +7851'Hoffenheim II:Yasin Zor 1508 +78
- 63'Alem Japaur 1132 0 for Joshua Eze 1698 −7Verl:Alem Japaur 1132 0 for Joshua Eze 1698 −7
- K. Čížek for Tiago Poller 1553 +1664'Hoffenheim II:K. Čížek for Tiago Poller 1553 +16
- 64'M. Kaube 1342 −8* for Janne Berner 1583 0Verl:M. Kaube 1342 −8* for Janne Berner 1583 0
- jakov dedic 1474 −1* for Jykese Fields 1436 +2668'Hoffenheim II:jakov dedic 1474 −1* for Jykese Fields 1436 +26
- 75'Tim Heike 1519 0Verl:Tim Heike 1519 0
- 79'Antonio Foti 1573 −8* for Fabian Wessig 1211 0Verl:Antonio Foti 1573 −8* for Fabian Wessig 1211 0
- 80'Kasim Rabihic 1439 −6 for Andre Leipold 1617 −3Verl:Kasim Rabihic 1439 −6 for Andre Leipold 1617 −3
- Konstantin aleksa 1480 −7* for Blessing Makanda Maleko 1461 +3087'Hoffenheim II:Konstantin aleksa 1480 −7* for Blessing Makanda Maleko 1461 +30
- Diren Dağdeviren 1233 +2 for Yasin Zor 1508 +7887'Hoffenheim II:Diren Dağdeviren 1233 +2 for Yasin Zor 1508 +78
- 87'Amin Farouk 1223 −8* for Tim Heike 1519 0Verl:Amin Farouk 1223 −8* for Tim Heike 1519 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 31%(Hoffenheim II · draw · Verl)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Hoffenheim II €300K, Verl €343K.
- Home advantage made Hoffenheim II the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (3. Liga): Hoffenheim II ranked #1 of 20, Verl #17.
- Only 1 of Hoffenheim II's expected starters was past their position's peak age.
- Verl were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hoffenheim II
10th in 3. Liga · 13 pts from 9
- 13 OctLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1460
- 10 OctLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1480
- 19 SepWSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1562
- 16 SepWFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1449
- 13 SepDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1468
Verl
13th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 9
- 14 OctDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1594
- 11 OctDFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1596
- 18 SepWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1485
- 15 SepDSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1527
- 12 SepWSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1484
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 13 /9 | 48.2 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14th |
| Verl | 12 /9 | 52.2 | 1% | 7% | 2% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Verl · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1729
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hoffenheim II: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy (how Stefan Kleineheismann plays) · Verl: possession-based (how Orest Shala plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.