3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Hoffenheim II vs Preußen Münster
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Hoffenheim II host Preußen Münster on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hoffenheim II 39%, draw 29%, Preußen Münster 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hoffenheim II €306K, Preußen Münster €253K.
- Home advantage makes Hoffenheim II the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (3. Liga): Hoffenheim II rank #1 of 20, Preußen Münster #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hoffenheim II goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 1–27%
- 1–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Hoffenheim II 1493 · Preußen Münster 1553
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hoffenheim II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1581
Preußen Münster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1681
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hoffenheim II
9th in 3. Liga · 19 pts from 13
- 8 NovWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1509
- 31 OctLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1451
- 25 OctLWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1510
- 18 OctWVerl Germany 3 Liga1495
- 13 OctLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1451
Preußen Münster
14th in 3. Liga · 15 pts from 13
- 7 NovLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1532
- 1 NovLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1553
- 25 OctWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1553
- 17 OctLSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1521
- 14 OctLFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1531
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 19 /13 | 48.8 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 13th |
| Preußen Münster | 15 /13 | 48.9 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hoffenheim II: dribble-heavy (how Stefan Kleineheismann plays) · Preußen Münster: balanced profile (how Thomas Wörle plays)