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HNL · Regular Season - 10

HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Poljud, Split

HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk SplitTeam 1794
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
NK Varazdin crestNK VarazdinTeam 1646

Match story

HNK Hajduk Split · draw · NK Varazdin

Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 21%

Live chances: HNK Hajduk Split 97%, draw 3%, NK Varazdin 0% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%3' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%4' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%5' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%6' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%7' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 53%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 21%8' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%9' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%10' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%11' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%12' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%13' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 52%, draw 27%, NK Varazdin 21%14' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 51%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%15' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 51%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%16' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 51%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%17' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 51%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%18' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 51%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%19' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 50%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%20' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 50%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 21%21' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 50%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 21%22' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 50%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 21%23' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 50%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 21%24' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 21%25' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 29%, NK Varazdin 21%26' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 21%27' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 21%28' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 49%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 21%29' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 48%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 21%30' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 48%, draw 30%, NK Varazdin 21%31' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 48%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 21%32' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 48%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 21%33' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 47%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 21%34' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 47%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 21%35' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 47%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 21%36' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 47%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 21%37' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 46%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 21%39' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 46%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 21%40' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 46%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 21%41' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 45%, draw 33%, NK Varazdin 21%42' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 45%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 21%43' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 45%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 21%44' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 44%, draw 34%, NK Varazdin 21%45' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 44%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 21%45+1' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 44%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 21%45+2' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 43%, draw 35%, NK Varazdin 21%HT · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 43%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 21%47' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 43%, draw 36%, NK Varazdin 21%48' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 42%, draw 37%, NK Varazdin 21%49' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 42%, draw 37%, NK Varazdin 21%50' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 41%, draw 38%, NK Varazdin 21%51' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 41%, draw 38%, NK Varazdin 21%52' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 41%, draw 39%, NK Varazdin 21%53' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 40%, draw 39%, NK Varazdin 21%54' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 40%, draw 40%, NK Varazdin 21%55' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 39%, draw 40%, NK Varazdin 20%56' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 39%, draw 41%, NK Varazdin 20%57' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 38%, draw 42%, NK Varazdin 20%58' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 38%, draw 42%, NK Varazdin 20%59' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 37%, draw 43%, NK Varazdin 20%60' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 37%, draw 44%, NK Varazdin 20%61' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 36%, draw 44%, NK Varazdin 20%62' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 36%, draw 45%, NK Varazdin 19%63' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 35%, draw 46%, NK Varazdin 19%64' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 35%, draw 46%, NK Varazdin 19%65' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 34%, draw 47%, NK Varazdin 19%66' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 33%, draw 48%, NK Varazdin 19%67' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 33%, draw 49%, NK Varazdin 18%68' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 32%, draw 50%, NK Varazdin 18%69' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 32%, draw 50%, NK Varazdin 18%70' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 31%, draw 51%, NK Varazdin 18%71' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 52%, NK Varazdin 17%72' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 53%, NK Varazdin 17%73' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 54%, NK Varazdin 17%74' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 55%, NK Varazdin 17%75' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 56%, NK Varazdin 16%76' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 58%, NK Varazdin 16%77' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 26%, draw 59%, NK Varazdin 15%78' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 25%, draw 60%, NK Varazdin 15%79' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 24%, draw 61%, NK Varazdin 15%80' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 23%, draw 63%, NK Varazdin 14%81' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 22%, draw 64%, NK Varazdin 14%82' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 21%, draw 66%, NK Varazdin 13%83' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 20%, draw 67%, NK Varazdin 13%84' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 19%, draw 69%, NK Varazdin 12%85' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 18%, draw 71%, NK Varazdin 11%86' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 89%, draw 10%, NK Varazdin 1%87' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 90%, draw 10%, NK Varazdin 1%88' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 90%, draw 9%, NK Varazdin 1%90' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 92%, draw 7%, NK Varazdin 0%90+1' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 93%, draw 6%, NK Varazdin 0%90+2' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 94%, draw 5%, NK Varazdin 0%90+3' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 95%, draw 4%, NK Varazdin 0%90+4' · 1–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 97%, draw 3%, NK Varazdin 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave HNK Hajduk Split 54% to win: they did.

  1. 23'NK Varazdin:Gregor Sikošek 1643 −13* for elvir durakovic 1537 0
  2. 33'HNK Hajduk Split:Dario Marešić 1906 +13
  3. 58'HNK Hajduk Split:Abdoulie Sanyang 1837 +6 for Andelo Šutalo 1569 +27
  4. 58'NK Varazdin:Tomislav Duvnjak 1709 −3
  5. 63'NK Varazdin:Aleksa Latkovic 1765 −6
  6. 63'NK Varazdin:Emmanuel Uchegbu Chimeroucheya 1189 −8* for Petar Bočkaj 1710 −5
  7. 63'NK Varazdin:David Puclin 1522 −6 for Tomislav Duvnjak 1709 −3
  8. 65'HNK Hajduk Split:Simun Hrgovic 1885 +4 for Dario Melnjak 1637 +21
  9. 66'HNK Hajduk Split:Adrion Pajaziti 1826 −6* for Alberto del Moral 1876 +4
  10. 66'HNK Hajduk Split:Michele Šego 1896 +1 for Marko Livaja 1750 −5*
  11. 74'HNK Hajduk Split:Adam Huram 1630 −5* for marin soticek 1847 +15
  12. 76'NK Varazdin:Luka Skaricic 1725 −10* for Aleksa Latkovic 1765 −6
  13. 76'NK Varazdin:Ivan Posavec 1602 −1 for luka mamic 1749 −5
  14. 86'HNK Hajduk Split:Mathieu Acapandie 1828 +20 assist Abdoulie Sanyang 1837 +6
  15. 90'HNK Hajduk Split:Adrion Pajaziti 1826 −6*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GT. Silić1897+12
DM. Acapandié1828+20
DD. Hadžikadunić1832+19
DD. Marešić1906+13
DD. Melnjak1637+21
MAlberto del Moral1876+4
MK. Fayad1752+27
MA. Sutalo1569+27
MDali1831+7
MM. Šotiček1847+15
FM. Livaja1750−5*
CGonzalo García1899+9
GJ. Silić16190
DL. Posinkovic1301−8*
DM. Mladenovski1745−16
DN. Tepšić1715−13
DP. Bočkaj1710−5
MI. Canjuga1718−5
MT. Duvnjak1709−3
ME. Duraković15370
ML. Mamić1749−5
MIuri Tavares1760−14*
FA. Latković1765−6
CN. Šafarić1751−11
Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 21%(HNK Hajduk Split · draw · NK Varazdin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: HNK Hajduk Split €903K, NK Varazdin €620K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (HNL): HNK Hajduk Split ranked #2 of 11, NK Varazdin #8.
  • NK Varazdin were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

HNK Hajduk Split

1st in HNL · 19 pts from 9

  • 15 OctWAjax 1810
  • 10 OctWDinamo Zagreb 1778
  • 20 SepLHNK Rijeka 1786
  • 13 SepWNK Slaven Belupo 1799
  • 6 SepWRudes 1735

NK Varazdin

2nd in HNL · 18 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1667
  • 19 SepDNK Osijek 1655
  • 14 SepDHNK Gorica 1657
  • 4 SepDIstra 1961 1668
  • 29 AugWRudes 1699

Season outlook

From the HNL simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
HNK Hajduk Split19 /965.511%97%0%2nd
NK Varazdin18 /956.11%72%1%4th
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: HNL

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Marešić
D. Marešić

HNK Hajduk Split · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1893

J. Silić
J. Silić

NK Varazdin · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1619

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gonzalo Manuel García García

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Nikola Šafarić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

HNK Hajduk Split: balanced profile (how Gonzalo Manuel García García plays) · NK Varazdin: balanced profile (how Nikola Šafarić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.