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HNL · Regular Season - 9

HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadion Poljud, Split

HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk SplitTeam 1768
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo ZagrebTeam 1925

Match story

HNK Hajduk Split · draw · Dinamo Zagreb

Before kick-off: 30% · 27% · 43%

Live chances: HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0% at 90+16'1' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%2' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%3' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%4' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%5' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%6' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%7' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%8' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%9' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%10' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%11' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%12' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%13' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%14' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%15' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%16' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%17' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%18' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 30%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%19' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 30%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%20' · 0–0 · HNK Hajduk Split 30%, draw 30%, Dinamo Zagreb 41%22' · 0–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 14%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 65%23' · 0–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 13%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 65%24' · 0–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 13%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 65%25' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 31%, Dinamo Zagreb 40%26' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 31%, Dinamo Zagreb 40%27' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 31%, Dinamo Zagreb 40%29' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 32%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%30' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 32%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%31' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 32%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%32' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 33%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%33' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 33%, Dinamo Zagreb 39%34' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 33%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%35' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 29%, draw 33%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%36' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 34%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%37' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 34%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%38' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 34%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%39' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 34%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%40' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 35%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%41' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 35%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%42' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 35%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%43' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 36%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%44' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 36%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%45' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 28%, draw 36%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%45+1' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 37%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%45+2' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 37%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%HT · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 38%, Dinamo Zagreb 35%47' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 38%, Dinamo Zagreb 35%48' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 39%, Dinamo Zagreb 35%49' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 27%, draw 39%, Dinamo Zagreb 34%50' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 26%, draw 40%, Dinamo Zagreb 34%52' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 26%, draw 41%, Dinamo Zagreb 33%53' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 26%, draw 41%, Dinamo Zagreb 33%55' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 25%, draw 43%, Dinamo Zagreb 32%56' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 25%, draw 43%, Dinamo Zagreb 32%57' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 25%, draw 44%, Dinamo Zagreb 31%58' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 24%, draw 45%, Dinamo Zagreb 31%59' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 24%, draw 45%, Dinamo Zagreb 31%60' · 1–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 24%, draw 46%, Dinamo Zagreb 30%61' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 70%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 7%62' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 70%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 7%63' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 71%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 7%64' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 71%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 6%65' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 72%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 6%66' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 72%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 6%67' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 73%, draw 22%, Dinamo Zagreb 6%68' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 73%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 5%69' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 74%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 5%70' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 74%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 5%71' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 75%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 5%73' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 76%, draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb 4%74' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 77%, draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb 4%75' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 77%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb 4%76' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 78%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb 3%77' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 79%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 3%78' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 79%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 3%79' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 80%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 3%80' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 81%, draw 17%, Dinamo Zagreb 2%81' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 82%, draw 16%, Dinamo Zagreb 2%82' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 82%, draw 16%, Dinamo Zagreb 2%83' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 83%, draw 15%, Dinamo Zagreb 2%87' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 87%, draw 12%, Dinamo Zagreb 1%88' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 88%, draw 11%, Dinamo Zagreb 1%89' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 89%, draw 10%, Dinamo Zagreb 1%90' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 90%, draw 9%, Dinamo Zagreb 1%90+1' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 92%, draw 8%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+2' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 93%, draw 7%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+3' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 94%, draw 5%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+4' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 96%, draw 4%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+5' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 98%, draw 2%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+9' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+11' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+12' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+13' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+14' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+15' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%90+16' · 2–1 · HNK Hajduk Split 100%, draw 0%, Dinamo Zagreb 0%

Last reading, 90+16': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Dinamo Zagreb 43% to win: HNK Hajduk Split won.

  1. 14'Dinamo Zagreb:Dion Drena Beljo 2104 −42
  2. 21'Dinamo Zagreb:Dion Drena Beljo 2104 −42 assist Matteo Perez Vinlöf 2004 −12*
  3. 24'HNK Hajduk Split:Scott Mckenna 2100 −15 (own goal)
  4. 59'HNK Hajduk Split:Abdoulie Sanyang 1796 +56* assist Michele Šego 1870 +9*
  5. 62'HNK Hajduk Split:Ron Raqi 1654 +42
  6. 63'Dinamo Zagreb:Luka Stojkovic 2105 −12* for Lukas Kacavenda 1638 −8*
  7. 63'Dinamo Zagreb:Iker Almena Horcajo 1873 −8* for Mateo Lisica 1994 −10*
  8. 63'Dinamo Zagreb:Niko Galesic 2141 −13* for Paul Tabinas 1245 −8*
  9. 70'Dinamo Zagreb:Dani Rodríguez 1842 −8* for Miha Zajc 1973 −13*
  10. 73'HNK Hajduk Split:Dalisson De Almeida Leite 1788 +22*
  11. 73'Dinamo Zagreb:Moris Valincic 2072 −10* for Sergi Dominguez 2080 −17*
  12. 76'HNK Hajduk Split:Andelo Šutalo 1537 0* for Abdoulie Sanyang 1796 +56*
  13. 89'HNK Hajduk Split:Dario Melnjak 1611 −12* for marin soticek 1796 +17*
  14. 90'HNK Hajduk Split:Leander Dendoncker 1819 −11* for Khalil Fayad 1672 +32*
  15. 90'HNK Hajduk Split:Dennis Hadzikadunić 1775 −8* for Ron Raqi 1654 +42
  16. 90+14'HNK Hajduk Split:Carlos Martín Domínguez 1777 −7* for Dalisson De Almeida Leite 1788 +22*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GT. Silić1859+10*
DM. Acapandié1768+21*
DD. Marešić1869+9*
DR. Raci1654+42
DŠ. Hrgović1871+9*
MAlberto del Moral1851+11*
MK. Fayad1672+32*
MA. Sanyang1796+56*
MDali1788+22*
MM. Šotiček1796+17*
FM. Šego1870+9*
CGonzalo García1873+25*
GD. Kotarski2010−13*
DPaul Bismarck Tabinas1245−8*
DS. McKenna2100−15
DSergi Domínguez2080−17*
DOlof Matteo Perez Vinlöf2004−12*
MM. Zajc1973−13*
MK. Kravtsov1709−8*
ML. Kačavenda1638−8*
FM. Lisica1994−10*
FD. Beljo2104−42
FL. Ivanušec2065−19*
CMario Kovacevic2070−29*
Before kick-off: 30% · 27% · 43%(HNK Hajduk Split · draw · Dinamo Zagreb)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: HNK Hajduk Split €987K, Dinamo Zagreb €3.3M.
  • HNL: D. Kotarski was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2022).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

HNK Hajduk Split

2nd in HNL · 16 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLHNK Rijeka 1786
  • 13 SepWNK Slaven Belupo 1799
  • 6 SepWRudes 1735
  • 31 AugWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1750
  • 27 AugDRaków Częstochowa 1769

Dinamo Zagreb

1st in HNL · 16 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1956
  • 16 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva 2002
  • 12 SepLNK Osijek 2018
  • 5 SepWHNK Gorica 2040
  • 29 AugDIstra 1961 2032

Season outlook

From the HNL simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
HNK Hajduk Split16 /862.63%94%0%3rd
Dinamo Zagreb16 /780.291%100%0%1st
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: HNL

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Marešić
D. Marešić

HNK Hajduk Split · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1860

D. Beljo
D. Beljo

Dinamo Zagreb · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2146

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gonzalo Manuel García García

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Mario Kovačević

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

HNK Hajduk Split: balanced profile (how Gonzalo Manuel García García plays) · Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.