HNL · Regular Season - 13
HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica host NK Slaven Belupo on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: HNK Gorica 44%, draw 28%, NK Slaven Belupo 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: HNK Gorica €344K, NK Slaven Belupo €323K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (HNL): HNK Gorica rank #9 of 11, NK Slaven Belupo #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. HNK Gorica goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: HNK Gorica 1541 · NK Slaven Belupo 1506
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
HNK Gorica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1584
NK Slaven Belupo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1555
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
HNK Gorica
10th in HNL · 6 pts from 10
- 17 OctDNK Osijek HNL1503
- 9 OctLRudes HNL1547
- 19 SepWIstra 1961 HNL1496
- 14 SepDNK Varazdin HNL1533
- 5 SepLDinamo Zagreb HNL1538
NK Slaven Belupo
8th in HNL · 10 pts from 10
- 18 OctLDinamo Zagreb HNL1535
- 11 OctWHNK Rijeka HNL1487
- 18 SepDRudes HNL1464
- 13 SepLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1466
- 6 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1446
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 6 /10 | 34.5 | 0% | <1% | 74% | 9th |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 10 /10 | 36.9 | 0% | 1% | 61% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
HNK Gorica: balanced profile (how Mario Carević plays) · NK Slaven Belupo: balanced profile (how Silvijo Čabraja plays)