Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 26
HJK Helsinki 6–0 VPS
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK HelsinkiTeam 1485VPSTeam 1373We gave HJK Helsinki 52% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%(HJK Helsinki · draw · VPS)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 6–0 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: HJK Helsinki €263K, VPS €230K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): HJK Helsinki ranked #1 of 8, VPS #7.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
HJK Helsinki
3rd in Veikkausliiga · 37 pts from 22
- 18 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1531
- 13 SepDKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1507
- 9 SepWInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1519
- 31 AugWIlves Finland Veikkausliiga1507
- 23 AugLGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1523
VPS
6th in Veikkausliiga · 33 pts from 22
- 19 SepLKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1477
- 14 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1500
- 8 SepWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1418
- 22 AugWIlves Finland Veikkausliiga1398
- 14 AugLTurku PS Finland Veikkausliiga1407
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki | 42 /25 | 53.3 | 5% | 97% | 0% | 3rd |
| VPS | 36 /25 | 44.8 | 0% | 24% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
HJK Helsinki · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1602
VPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1473
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
HJK Helsinki: possession-based (how Joonas Rantanen plays) · VPS: balanced profile (how Jussi Johan Nuorela plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.