NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 28

HJK Helsinki 4–0 Gnistan

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Bolt Arena, Helsinki

HJK Helsinki crestHJK HelsinkiTeam 1547
4–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Gnistan crestGnistanTeam 1353

Match story

HJK Helsinki · draw · Gnistan

Before kick-off: 60% · 22% · 18%

Live chances: HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 60%, draw 22%, Gnistan 18%2' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 60%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%3' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 60%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%4' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%5' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%6' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%7' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%8' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%9' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 23%, Gnistan 18%10' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%11' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%12' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%13' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%14' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%15' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 24%, Gnistan 18%16' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 25%, Gnistan 18%17' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 25%, Gnistan 18%18' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 57%, draw 25%, Gnistan 18%19' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 56%, draw 25%, Gnistan 19%20' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 56%, draw 25%, Gnistan 19%21' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 56%, draw 25%, Gnistan 19%22' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 56%, draw 26%, Gnistan 19%23' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 55%, draw 26%, Gnistan 19%24' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 55%, draw 26%, Gnistan 19%25' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 55%, draw 26%, Gnistan 19%26' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 55%, draw 26%, Gnistan 19%27' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 55%, draw 27%, Gnistan 19%28' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 54%, draw 27%, Gnistan 19%29' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 54%, draw 27%, Gnistan 19%30' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 54%, draw 27%, Gnistan 19%31' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 53%, draw 27%, Gnistan 19%32' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 53%, draw 28%, Gnistan 19%33' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 53%, draw 28%, Gnistan 19%34' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 53%, draw 28%, Gnistan 19%35' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 52%, draw 28%, Gnistan 19%36' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 52%, draw 29%, Gnistan 19%37' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 52%, draw 29%, Gnistan 19%38' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 51%, draw 29%, Gnistan 19%39' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 51%, draw 30%, Gnistan 19%40' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 51%, draw 30%, Gnistan 19%41' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 51%, draw 30%, Gnistan 19%42' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 30%, Gnistan 19%43' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 31%, Gnistan 19%44' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 31%, Gnistan 19%45' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 49%, draw 31%, Gnistan 19%45+1' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 49%, draw 32%, Gnistan 19%HT · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 48%, draw 33%, Gnistan 19%46' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 48%, draw 33%, Gnistan 19%47' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 48%, draw 33%, Gnistan 19%48' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 47%, draw 33%, Gnistan 19%49' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 47%, draw 34%, Gnistan 19%50' · 0–0 · HJK Helsinki 46%, draw 34%, Gnistan 19%51' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 79%, draw 16%, Gnistan 5%52' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 79%, draw 16%, Gnistan 5%53' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 80%, draw 16%, Gnistan 5%54' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 80%, draw 16%, Gnistan 4%55' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 2%56' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 2%57' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 2%58' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 1%59' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 1%60' · 1–0 · HJK Helsinki 89%, draw 9%, Gnistan 1%61' · 2–0 · HJK Helsinki 99%, draw 1%, Gnistan 0%62' · 2–0 · HJK Helsinki 99%, draw 1%, Gnistan 0%63' · 2–0 · HJK Helsinki 99%, draw 1%, Gnistan 0%64' · 2–0 · HJK Helsinki 99%, draw 1%, Gnistan 0%65' · 2–0 · HJK Helsinki 99%, draw 1%, Gnistan 0%66' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%67' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%68' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%69' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%70' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%71' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%72' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%73' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%74' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%75' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%76' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%77' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%78' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%79' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%80' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%81' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%82' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%83' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%84' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%85' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%86' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%87' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%88' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%89' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%90' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%90+1' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%90+2' · 3–0 · HJK Helsinki 100%, draw 0%, Gnistan 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave HJK Helsinki 60% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Gnistan:Gabriel Europaeus 1475 −1
  2. 30'Gnistan:Artur Atarah 1211 0
  3. 45'HJK Helsinki:Liam Möller 1490 +21 for Teemu Pukki 1412 +1
  4. 47'Gnistan:Sergey Eremenko 1341 −1
  5. 50'HJK Helsinki:Mads Borchers 1587 +31
  6. 53'Gnistan:Edmund Arko-Mensah 1483 −1
  7. 57'Gnistan:Roman Eremenko 1220 −15 for Joakim Latonen 1410 −1
  8. 57'Gnistan:Danny Pérez 1350 0 for Saku Ylätupa 1511 −4
  9. 60'HJK Helsinki:Santeri Haarala 1636 +19 assist Kaius Simojoki 1618 +27
  10. 60'Gnistan:Juhani Ojala 1099 −17* for Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou 1269 0
  11. 66'HJK Helsinki:Mads Borchers 1587 +31 assist Santeri Haarala 1636 +19
  12. 74'HJK Helsinki:Lucas Lingman 1570 +4 for Santeri Haarala 1636 +19
  13. 74'HJK Helsinki:Joona Veteli 1507 +3 for Pyry Mentu 1623 +21
  14. 74'HJK Helsinki:Martin Kirilov 1459 +3 for Alexander Ring 1459 +31
  15. 79'Gnistan:Otto Hannula 1398 0 for Artur Atarah 1211 0
  16. 82'HJK Helsinki:Till Cissokho 1660 −6* for Ville Tikkanen 1652 +19

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-4-1
GJ. Öst1362+61
DK. Simojoki1618+27
DM. Bogićević1607+27
DV. Tikkanen1652+19
DL. Montano1622+9
MA. Ring1459+31
MP. Mentu1623+21
MM. Borchers1587+31
MS. Haarala1636+19
MAlfie Cicale1584+31
FT. Pukki1412+1
CJ. Rantanen1645+15
GO. Virtanen1466−2
DB. Milovanov1590−15
DP. Gnanou12690
DS. Eremenko1341−1
DRuxi1320−3
DE. Arko-Mensah1483−1
MA. Atarah12110
MA. Jouhi14380
MG. Europaeus1475−1
MS. Ylätupa1511−4
FJ. Latonen1410−1
CJussi Leppälahti1505−10
Before kick-off: 60% · 22% · 18%(HJK Helsinki · draw · Gnistan)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 4–0 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: HJK Helsinki €275K, Gnistan €171K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Veikkausliiga): HJK Helsinki ranked #1 of 9, Gnistan #9.
  • HJK Helsinki were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

HJK Helsinki

3rd in Veikkausliiga · 37 pts from 22

  • 12 OctWAC Oulu 1536
  • 8 OctWVPS 1506
  • 18 SepDGnistan 1531
  • 13 SepDKuPS 1507
  • 9 SepWInter Turku 1519

Gnistan

4th in Veikkausliiga · 36 pts from 22

  • 12 OctLVPS 1393
  • 7 OctDInter Turku 1434
  • 18 SepDHJK Helsinki 1367
  • 12 SepWAC Oulu 1400
  • 8 SepDKuPS 1408

Season outlook

From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
HJK Helsinki48 /2756.221%100%0%2nd
Gnistan42 /2747.8<1%71%0%4th
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Veikkausliiga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Tikkanen
V. Tikkanen

HJK Helsinki · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1633

O. Virtanen
O. Virtanen

Gnistan · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1468

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Joonas Rantanen

Coach DNA: –

Jussi Leppälahti

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

HJK Helsinki: possession-based (how Joonas Rantanen plays) · Gnistan: direct (how Jussi Leppälahti plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.