Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 32
HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK Helsinki host AC Oulu on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Veikkausliiga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: HJK Helsinki 59%, draw 24%, AC Oulu 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: HJK Helsinki €292K, AC Oulu €193K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Veikkausliiga): HJK Helsinki rank #1 of 10, AC Oulu #10.
- AC Oulu's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
- HJK Helsinki are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. HJK Helsinki goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: HJK Helsinki 1584 · AC Oulu 1394
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
HJK Helsinki · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1587
AC Oulu · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1450
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
HJK Helsinki
3rd in Veikkausliiga · 37 pts from 22
- 17 OctWGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1545
- 12 OctWAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1536
- 8 OctWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1506
- 18 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1531
- 13 SepDKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1507
AC Oulu
5th in Veikkausliiga · 34 pts from 22
- 17 OctWInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1374
- 12 OctLHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1385
- 8 OctWKuPS Finland Veikkausliiga1340
- 18 SepLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1393
- 12 SepLGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1380
Season outlook
From the Veikkausliiga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki | 51 /28 | 57.3 | 38% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| AC Oulu | 40 /28 | 44.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
HJK Helsinki: possession-based (how Joonas Rantanen plays) · AC Oulu: balanced profile (how Mikko Isokangas plays)