NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Premiership · Regular Season - 9

Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Easter Road, Edinburgh

Hibernian crestHibernianTeam 1745
1–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Falkirk crestFalkirkTeam 1544

Match story

Hibernian · draw · Falkirk

Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%

Live chances: Hibernian 0%, draw 6%, Falkirk 94% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Hibernian 60%, draw 23%, Falkirk 17%2' · 0–0 · Hibernian 60%, draw 23%, Falkirk 17%3' · 0–0 · Hibernian 60%, draw 23%, Falkirk 17%4' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%5' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%6' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%7' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%8' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%9' · 0–0 · Hibernian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%10' · 0–0 · Hibernian 58%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%11' · 0–0 · Hibernian 58%, draw 25%, Falkirk 17%12' · 0–0 · Hibernian 58%, draw 25%, Falkirk 17%13' · 0–0 · Hibernian 58%, draw 25%, Falkirk 17%14' · 0–1 · Hibernian 40%, draw 27%, Falkirk 33%16' · 0–1 · Hibernian 39%, draw 27%, Falkirk 34%17' · 0–1 · Hibernian 39%, draw 27%, Falkirk 34%18' · 0–1 · Hibernian 39%, draw 27%, Falkirk 34%19' · 0–1 · Hibernian 38%, draw 27%, Falkirk 34%20' · 0–1 · Hibernian 38%, draw 27%, Falkirk 35%21' · 0–1 · Hibernian 38%, draw 27%, Falkirk 35%22' · 0–1 · Hibernian 37%, draw 27%, Falkirk 35%23' · 0–1 · Hibernian 37%, draw 28%, Falkirk 36%24' · 0–1 · Hibernian 36%, draw 28%, Falkirk 36%25' · 0–1 · Hibernian 36%, draw 28%, Falkirk 36%26' · 0–1 · Hibernian 36%, draw 28%, Falkirk 36%27' · 0–1 · Hibernian 35%, draw 28%, Falkirk 37%28' · 0–1 · Hibernian 35%, draw 28%, Falkirk 37%29' · 0–1 · Hibernian 35%, draw 28%, Falkirk 37%31' · 0–1 · Hibernian 34%, draw 28%, Falkirk 38%32' · 0–1 · Hibernian 33%, draw 29%, Falkirk 38%33' · 0–1 · Hibernian 33%, draw 29%, Falkirk 39%34' · 0–1 · Hibernian 32%, draw 29%, Falkirk 39%35' · 0–1 · Hibernian 32%, draw 29%, Falkirk 39%36' · 0–1 · Hibernian 31%, draw 29%, Falkirk 40%37' · 0–1 · Hibernian 31%, draw 29%, Falkirk 40%38' · 0–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 17%, Falkirk 74%39' · 0–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 17%, Falkirk 74%40' · 0–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 17%, Falkirk 75%41' · 0–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 16%, Falkirk 75%42' · 1–2 · Hibernian 29%, draw 30%, Falkirk 42%43' · 1–2 · Hibernian 28%, draw 30%, Falkirk 42%45' · 1–2 · Hibernian 27%, draw 30%, Falkirk 43%45+1' · 1–2 · Hibernian 27%, draw 30%, Falkirk 43%45+2' · 1–2 · Hibernian 26%, draw 30%, Falkirk 44%HT · 1–2 · Hibernian 25%, draw 30%, Falkirk 44%46' · 1–2 · Hibernian 25%, draw 30%, Falkirk 45%47' · 1–2 · Hibernian 25%, draw 30%, Falkirk 45%48' · 1–2 · Hibernian 24%, draw 30%, Falkirk 45%49' · 1–2 · Hibernian 24%, draw 30%, Falkirk 46%50' · 1–2 · Hibernian 23%, draw 30%, Falkirk 46%51' · 1–2 · Hibernian 23%, draw 30%, Falkirk 47%52' · 1–2 · Hibernian 22%, draw 30%, Falkirk 48%53' · 1–2 · Hibernian 21%, draw 30%, Falkirk 48%54' · 1–2 · Hibernian 21%, draw 30%, Falkirk 49%55' · 1–2 · Hibernian 20%, draw 30%, Falkirk 49%56' · 1–2 · Hibernian 19%, draw 30%, Falkirk 50%57' · 1–2 · Hibernian 19%, draw 30%, Falkirk 51%58' · 1–2 · Hibernian 18%, draw 30%, Falkirk 52%59' · 1–2 · Hibernian 18%, draw 30%, Falkirk 52%60' · 1–2 · Hibernian 17%, draw 30%, Falkirk 53%61' · 1–2 · Hibernian 16%, draw 30%, Falkirk 54%62' · 1–2 · Hibernian 16%, draw 30%, Falkirk 54%63' · 1–2 · Hibernian 15%, draw 30%, Falkirk 55%64' · 1–2 · Hibernian 15%, draw 30%, Falkirk 56%65' · 1–2 · Hibernian 14%, draw 30%, Falkirk 56%66' · 1–2 · Hibernian 13%, draw 30%, Falkirk 57%67' · 1–2 · Hibernian 13%, draw 29%, Falkirk 58%68' · 1–2 · Hibernian 12%, draw 29%, Falkirk 59%69' · 1–2 · Hibernian 12%, draw 29%, Falkirk 59%70' · 1–2 · Hibernian 11%, draw 29%, Falkirk 60%71' · 1–2 · Hibernian 11%, draw 28%, Falkirk 61%72' · 1–2 · Hibernian 10%, draw 28%, Falkirk 62%73' · 1–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 28%, Falkirk 63%74' · 1–2 · Hibernian 9%, draw 27%, Falkirk 64%75' · 1–2 · Hibernian 8%, draw 27%, Falkirk 65%76' · 1–2 · Hibernian 8%, draw 26%, Falkirk 66%77' · 1–2 · Hibernian 7%, draw 26%, Falkirk 67%78' · 1–2 · Hibernian 7%, draw 25%, Falkirk 68%79' · 1–2 · Hibernian 6%, draw 25%, Falkirk 69%80' · 1–2 · Hibernian 6%, draw 24%, Falkirk 70%81' · 1–2 · Hibernian 5%, draw 23%, Falkirk 72%82' · 1–2 · Hibernian 5%, draw 23%, Falkirk 73%83' · 1–2 · Hibernian 4%, draw 22%, Falkirk 74%84' · 1–2 · Hibernian 4%, draw 21%, Falkirk 76%85' · 1–2 · Hibernian 3%, draw 20%, Falkirk 77%86' · 1–2 · Hibernian 3%, draw 19%, Falkirk 78%87' · 1–2 · Hibernian 2%, draw 18%, Falkirk 80%88' · 1–2 · Hibernian 2%, draw 16%, Falkirk 82%89' · 1–2 · Hibernian 2%, draw 15%, Falkirk 83%90' · 1–2 · Hibernian 1%, draw 14%, Falkirk 85%90+1' · 1–2 · Hibernian 1%, draw 12%, Falkirk 87%90+2' · 1–2 · Hibernian 1%, draw 10%, Falkirk 89%90+3' · 1–2 · Hibernian 0%, draw 8%, Falkirk 91%90+4' · 1–2 · Hibernian 0%, draw 6%, Falkirk 94%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 6% · 94%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Hibernian 60% to win: Falkirk won.

  1. 6'Hibernian:Owen Elding 1641 0
  2. 13'Falkirk:Jacob Murrell 1661 +94 assist Ryan Strain 1655 +26
  3. 25'Falkirk:Ben krauhaus 1574 +28
  4. 37'Falkirk:Jacob Murrell 1661 +94 assist Ethan Ross 1554 +120
  5. 41'Hibernian:Owen Elding 1641 0 assist Felix Passlack 1739 −28
  6. 45'Falkirk:Leon McCann 1690 +11 for Scott Tanser 1441 +17*
  7. 60'Hibernian:Rabbi Matondo 1751 −3 for Thibault Klidjé 1720 −4
  8. 61'Falkirk:Ryan Strain 1655 +26
  9. 61'Hibernian:Jamie McGrath 1767 −13* for Azeem Abdulai 1751 −14*
  10. 65'Falkirk:Deniss Meļņiks 1645 +7 for Ben krauhaus 1574 +28
  11. 76'Hibernian:Nicky Cadden 1799 −4 for Miguel Changa Chaiwa 1712 −4
  12. 76'Hibernian:Ante Suto 1620 0 for A. Major 1758 −17*
  13. 77'Falkirk:Calvin Fodrey 1448 0* for Ethan Ross 1554 +120
  14. 79'Falkirk:Finley Frank Barbrook 1607 +32
  15. 84'Falkirk:Finn Yeats 1531 +3 for Finley Frank Barbrook 1607 +32
  16. 84'Falkirk:Jack McMillan 1668 0 for Owen Eames 1622 +30

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GR. Sallinger1762−11
DF. Passlack1739−28
DJ. Kerr1736−10
DM. Ivezić1818−17
DA. Mayor1758−17*
MJ. Mulligan1769−12
MM. Chaiwa1712−4
MM. Boyle1729−12
MA. Abdulai1751−14*
MT. Klidje1720−4
FO. Elding16410
CM. Reedijk1787−28
GS. Bain1666+23
DR. Strain1655+26
DL. Neilson1694+23
DL. Henderson1720+17
DS. Tanser1441+17*
MB. Spencer1677+22
MFinley Frank Barbrook1607+32
ME. Ross1554+120
MB. Krauhaus1574+28
MOwen Eames1622+30
FJ. Murrell1661+94
CJ. McGlynn1711+41
Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%(Hibernian · draw · Falkirk)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Hibernian €839K, Falkirk €311K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Hibernian ranked #11 of 12, Falkirk #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Hibernian

10th in Premiership · 7 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLDundee Utd 1762
  • 19 SepDAberdeen 1772
  • 15 SepLKilmarnock 1736
  • 6 SepLST Johnstone 1778
  • 3 SepLHeart Of Midlothian 1809

Falkirk

11th in Premiership · 6 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLDundee 1621
  • 19 SepDST Johnstone 1611
  • 15 SepWHeart Of Midlothian 1584
  • 5 SepDDundee Utd 1579
  • 2 SepLRangers 1582

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Hibernian7 /842.40%20%13%5th
Falkirk6 /831.30%1%76%12th
Hibernian
Falkirk

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Kerr
J. Kerr

Hibernian · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1745

R. Strain
R. Strain

Falkirk · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1628

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marink Reedijk

Coach DNA: balanced profile

John McGlynn

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Hibernian: balanced profile (how Marink Reedijk plays) · Falkirk: balanced profile (how John McGlynn plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.