Premiership · Regular Season - 10
Hibernian vs Celtic
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Easter Road, Edinburgh
Hibernian host Celtic on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hibernian 19%, draw 25%, Celtic 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hibernian €828K, Celtic €3.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premiership matchday 10: 354 points.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2160).
- Celtic's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hibernian goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
Team Elo: Hibernian 1741 · Celtic 2095
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hibernian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1736
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2104
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hibernian
12th in Premiership · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1752
- 10 OctLDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1762
- 19 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1772
- 15 SepLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1736
- 6 SepLST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1778
Celtic
1st in Premiership · 24 pts from 9
- 18 OctWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership2005
- 15 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League2055
- 11 OctWMotherwell Scotland Premiership2070
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
- 17 SepLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League2024
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 7 /9 | 40.1 | 0% | 14% | 22% | 7th |
| Celtic | 24 /9 | 77.3 | 89% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hibernian: balanced profile (how Marink Reedijk plays) · Celtic: possession-based · creative (how Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill plays)