2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Olympiastadion, Berlin
Hertha BSC host VfL Wolfsburg on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hertha BSC 37%, draw 29%, VfL Wolfsburg 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hertha BSC €1.8M, VfL Wolfsburg €3.0M.
- Home advantage makes Hertha BSC the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Mæhle is the highest-rated defender (2184).
- Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hertha BSC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Hertha BSC 1870 · VfL Wolfsburg 1949
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hertha BSC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2018
VfL Wolfsburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2060
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hertha BSC
1st in 2. Bundesliga · 22 pts from 8
- 16 OctDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1904
- 11 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1897
- 19 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 13 SepWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1845
- 6 SepW1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
VfL Wolfsburg
3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 8
- 17 OctW1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1950
- 10 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1925
- 18 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 12 SepLFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 5 SepDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1926
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 22 /8 | 62.3 | 39% | 89% | 0% | 1st |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 15 /8 | 60.7 | 31% | 85% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays) · VfL Wolfsburg: balanced profile (how Tobias Strobl plays)