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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Olympiastadion, Berlin

Hertha BSC crestHertha BSCTeam 1883
2–1
Full time
HT 0–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth crestSpVgg Greuther FürthTeam 1665

Match story

Hertha BSC · draw · SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Before kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%

Live chances: Hertha BSC 97%, draw 3%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 62%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%2' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 62%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%3' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 62%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%4' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 62%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%5' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 61%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%6' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 61%, draw 23%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%7' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 61%, draw 23%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%8' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 61%, draw 23%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%9' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 61%, draw 23%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%10' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 60%, draw 23%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%11' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 60%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%12' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 60%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%13' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 60%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%14' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 59%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%15' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 59%, draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%16' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 59%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%17' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 59%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%18' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 58%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%19' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 58%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%20' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 58%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%21' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 58%, draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%22' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 57%, draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%23' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 57%, draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%24' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 57%, draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%25' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 56%, draw 27%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%26' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 56%, draw 27%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%27' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 56%, draw 27%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%28' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 56%, draw 27%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%29' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 55%, draw 27%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%30' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 55%, draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%31' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 55%, draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%32' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 54%, draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%33' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 54%, draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%34' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 54%, draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%35' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 53%, draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%36' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 53%, draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%37' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 53%, draw 30%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%38' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 52%, draw 30%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%39' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 52%, draw 30%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%40' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 52%, draw 31%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%41' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 51%, draw 31%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%42' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 51%, draw 32%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%43' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 50%, draw 32%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%44' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 50%, draw 32%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%45' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 50%, draw 33%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%HT · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 48%, draw 34%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%46' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 48%, draw 34%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%47' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 48%, draw 35%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%48' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 47%, draw 35%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%49' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 47%, draw 36%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%50' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 46%, draw 36%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%51' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 46%, draw 37%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18%53' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 45%, draw 38%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%55' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 43%, draw 39%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%56' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 43%, draw 40%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%57' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 42%, draw 41%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%58' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 42%, draw 41%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%59' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 41%, draw 42%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%60' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 40%, draw 43%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%61' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 40%, draw 44%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%62' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 39%, draw 44%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 17%63' · 0–1 · Hertha BSC 14%, draw 29%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 57%64' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 38%, draw 46%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%65' · 0–0 · Hertha BSC 37%, draw 47%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 16%66' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 84%, draw 14%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%67' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 84%, draw 14%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%68' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 84%, draw 14%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%69' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 84%, draw 14%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%70' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 85%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%71' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 85%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%72' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 85%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%73' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 85%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%74' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 86%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%75' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 86%, draw 13%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2%76' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 86%, draw 12%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1%77' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 87%, draw 12%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1%78' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 87%, draw 12%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1%79' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 87%, draw 11%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1%80' · 1–0 · Hertha BSC 88%, draw 11%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1%81' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 99%, draw 1%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%82' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 99%, draw 1%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%83' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 99%, draw 1%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%84' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 99%, draw 1%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%85' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 99%, draw 1%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%86' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%87' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%88' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%89' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%90' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Hertha BSC 100%, draw 0%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Hertha BSC 95%, draw 5%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Hertha BSC 96%, draw 4%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Hertha BSC 97%, draw 3%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Hertha BSC 62% to win: they did.

  1. 60'Hertha BSC:Linus Jasper Gechter 1990 −2*
  2. 64'Hertha BSC:Gustaf Nilsson 1946 −4* for Jan Luca Schuler 1811 0*
  3. 64'Hertha BSC:Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 1412 −1* for Oluwaseun Adewumi 1736 +2*
  4. 65'Hertha BSC:Mads Valentin Pedersen 1869 +12* assist Josip Brekalo 2020 +5*
  5. 66'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Faton Ademi 1667 −8* for Shinta Karl Appelkamp 1792 −13*
  6. 72'Hertha BSC:Julian Eitschberger 1957 −1*
  7. 75'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Jordan Siebatcheu 1686 −10* for Sacha Banse 1615 −8*
  8. 76'Hertha BSC:Deyovaisio Zeefuik 1868 −7* for Mads Valentin Pedersen 1869 +12*
  9. 80'Hertha BSC:Paul Seguin 1908 +11* assist Josip Brekalo 2020 +5*
  10. 81'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Aaron Keller 1692 −8* for Lukas Reich 1550 −8*
  11. 81'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Dennis Srbeny 1553 −11* for Omar Sillah 1445 −8*
  12. 81'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Olgherto Balliu 1487 −8* for Ole Pohlmann 1740 −12*
  13. 87'Hertha BSC:Pascal Klemens 1840 −7* for Kevin Sessa 1901 0*
  14. 87'Hertha BSC:Soufian gouram 1654 −7* for Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 1887 +8
  15. 90'SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Jannis Heuer 1708 −17* assist Aaron Keller 1692 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GFlorian Hellstern1554−8*
DLukas Reich1550−8*
DJ. Heuer1708−17*
DHendry Aron Blank1560−8*
DJ. Dehm1734−15*
MS. Appelkamp1792−13*
MS. Bansé1615−8*
MP. Will1760−14*
MOle Pohlmann1740−12*
FF. Klaus1657−15*
FO. Sillah1445−8*
CH. Vogel1741−16*
Before kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%(Hertha BSC · draw · SpVgg Greuther Fürth)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Hertha BSC €1.8M, SpVgg Greuther Fürth €905K.
  • Hertha BSC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Hertha BSC

1st in 2. Bundesliga · 18 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWDynamo Dresden 1880
  • 13 SepWVfL Osnabrück 1845
  • 6 SepW1. FC Magdeburg 1843
  • 28 AugWEintracht Braunschweig 1815
  • 22 AugDFC Saarbrücken 1824

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

14th in 2. Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6

  • 18 SepD1. FC Magdeburg 1664
  • 12 SepDVfL Bochum 1680
  • 6 SepL1. FC Heidenheim 1702
  • 29 AugWEnergie Cottbus 1691
  • 23 AugLVfL Bochum 1698

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Hertha BSC18 /661.336%84%0%1st
SpVgg Greuther Fürth6 /637.10%1%44%18th
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Brekalo
J. Brekalo

Hertha BSC · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2015

F. Klaus
F. Klaus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1672

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stefan Leitl

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Heiko Vogel

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays) · SpVgg Greuther Fürth: balanced profile (how Heiko Vogel plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.