2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Olympiastadion, Berlin
Hertha BSC host Arminia Bielefeld on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hertha BSC 50%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hertha BSC €1.7M, Arminia Bielefeld €1.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (2. Bundesliga): Hertha BSC rank #16 of 18, Arminia Bielefeld #2.
- Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hertha BSC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Hertha BSC 1859 · Arminia Bielefeld 1779
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hertha BSC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2018
Arminia Bielefeld · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1791
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hertha BSC
1st in 2. Bundesliga · 22 pts from 8
- 16 OctDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1904
- 11 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1897
- 19 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 13 SepWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1845
- 6 SepW1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
Arminia Bielefeld
8th in 2. Bundesliga · 11 pts from 8
- 18 OctWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1747
- 11 OctWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1729
- 20 SepD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1781
- 11 SepLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
- 4 SepDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1771
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 22 /8 | 61.6 | 34% | 87% | 0% | 1st |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 11 /8 | 46.0 | 1% | 10% | 7% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays) · Arminia Bielefeld: balanced profile (how Oliver Kirch plays)