Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Heracles vs Jong PSV U21
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Asito Stadium, Almelo
Heracles host Jong PSV U21 on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Heracles 47%, draw 28%, Jong PSV U21 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Heracles €486K, Jong PSV U21 €498K.
- Style contrast in possession (Eerste Divisie): Heracles rank #18 of 20, Jong PSV U21 #1.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Heracles goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Heracles 1690 · Jong PSV U21 1612
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Heracles · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1715
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1576
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Heracles
1st in Eerste Divisie · 32 pts from 13
- 2 NovWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1741
- 29 OctLDe Treffers Netherlands KNVB Beker1557
- 23 OctDNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1744
- 18 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1627
- 9 OctWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1663
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 13
- 23 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1563
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1507
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1547
- 14 SepDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1644
- 11 SepLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1580
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 32 /13 | 69.8 | 39% | 86% | 0% | 1st |
| Jong PSV U21 | 16 /13 | 48.8 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Heracles: direct (how Vincent Heilmann plays) · Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays)