Super League · Regular Season - 28
Henan Jianye 0–1 Tianjin Teda
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 11:35 UTC · Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Henan JianyeTeam 1632
Tianjin TedaTeam 1666Match story
Henan Jianye · draw · Tianjin TedaBefore kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Henan Jianye 39% to win: Tianjin Teda won.
- Haliq Ablahan 1582 015'
Henan Jianye:Haliq Ablahan 1582 0 - 27'Guilherme Schettine 1727 +20 assist Xadas 1776 +4
Tianjin Teda:Guilherme Schettine 1727 +20 assist Xadas 1776 +4 - 35'Xadas 1776 +4
Tianjin Teda:Xadas 1776 +4 - Yin Congyao 1239 −2 for Haliq Ablahan 1582 046'
Henan Jianye:Yin Congyao 1239 −2 for Haliq Ablahan 1582 0 - O. Gerbig 1484 −8* for Lucas Maia 1684 −1760'
Henan Jianye:O. Gerbig 1484 −8* for Lucas Maia 1684 −17 - 60'Ba Dun 1713 +1 for Wang Zhenghao 1602 +11
Tianjin Teda:Ba Dun 1713 +1 for Wang Zhenghao 1602 +11 - 60'Wang Qiuming 1571 +10 for Xadas 1776 +4
Tianjin Teda:Wang Qiuming 1571 +10 for Xadas 1776 +4 - A. Abudulam 1580 0 for Pedro Maranhao 1720 −772'
Henan Jianye:A. Abudulam 1580 0 for Pedro Maranhao 1720 −7 - Zheng Dalun 1347 −4 for Zhong Yihao 1696 −872'
Henan Jianye:Zheng Dalun 1347 −4 for Zhong Yihao 1696 −8 - 72'Ji Shengpan 1459 −4* for Guilherme Schettine 1727 +20
Tianjin Teda:Ji Shengpan 1459 −4* for Guilherme Schettine 1727 +20 - Yin Congyao 1239 −283'
Henan Jianye:Yin Congyao 1239 −2 - 84'Yan Bingliang 1795 +19
Tianjin Teda:Yan Bingliang 1795 +19 - Yang Yilin 1520 −1 for Shinar Yeljan 1724 −884'
Henan Jianye:Yang Yilin 1520 −1 for Shinar Yeljan 1724 −8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(Henan Jianye · draw · Tianjin Teda)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Henan Jianye €310K, Tianjin Teda €324K.
- Home advantage made Henan Jianye the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
- Henan Jianye were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Tianjin Teda were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Henan Jianye
13th in Super League · 28 pts from 27
- 9 OctDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1643
- 12 SepDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1661
- 6 SepDChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1670
- 29 AugDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1705
- 23 AugDShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1737
Tianjin Teda
12th in Super League · 28 pts from 27
- 10 OctWChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1643
- 12 SepWShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1680
- 6 SepWHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1672
- 29 AugDQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1682
- 22 AugDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1678
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye | 28 /27 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 13th |
| Tianjin Teda | 28 /27 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Henan Jianye · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1735

Tianjin Teda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 1772
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Henan Jianye: balanced profile (how Daniel António Lopes Ramos plays) · Tianjin Teda: balanced profile (how Genwei Yu plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.