NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Helmond Sport 0–2 NAC Breda

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Lavans Stadion, Helmond

Helmond Sport crestHelmond SportTeam 1467
0–2
Full time
HT 0–1
NAC Breda crestNAC BredaTeam 1656

Match story

Helmond Sport · draw · NAC Breda

Before kick-off: 28% · 25% · 47%

Live chances: Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 25%, NAC Breda 47%2' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 25%, NAC Breda 46%3' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%4' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%5' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%6' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%7' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%8' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%9' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 46%10' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%11' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%12' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%13' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%14' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%15' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 45%16' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 45%17' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 44%18' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 44%19' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 44%20' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 44%21' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 28%, NAC Breda 44%22' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 44%23' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 43%24' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 43%25' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 43%26' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 43%27' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 30%, NAC Breda 43%28' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 28%, draw 30%, NAC Breda 43%29' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 30%, NAC Breda 42%30' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 30%, NAC Breda 42%31' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 31%, NAC Breda 42%32' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 31%, NAC Breda 42%33' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 31%, NAC Breda 42%34' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 31%, NAC Breda 41%35' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 32%, NAC Breda 41%36' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 32%, NAC Breda 41%37' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 32%, NAC Breda 41%38' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 32%, NAC Breda 41%39' · 0–0 · Helmond Sport 27%, draw 33%, NAC Breda 40%40' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 11%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%41' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%42' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%43' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%44' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%45' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%45+1' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 10%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 69%HT · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%46' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%47' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%48' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%49' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%50' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 9%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 70%51' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 8%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 71%52' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 8%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 71%53' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 8%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 71%54' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 8%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 71%55' · 0–1 · Helmond Sport 7%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 72%56' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 5%, NAC Breda 94%57' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 5%, NAC Breda 94%58' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 5%, NAC Breda 95%59' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 95%60' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 95%61' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 95%62' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 95%63' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 95%64' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 96%65' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 96%66' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 1%, draw 4%, NAC Breda 96%67' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 96%68' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 96%69' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 96%70' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 97%71' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 97%72' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 97%73' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 3%, NAC Breda 97%74' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 97%75' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 97%76' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 98%77' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 98%78' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 98%79' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 98%80' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 2%, NAC Breda 98%81' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 98%82' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%83' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%84' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%85' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%86' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%87' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%88' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 1%, NAC Breda 99%89' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100%90' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100%90+1' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100%90+2' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100%90+3' · 0–2 · Helmond Sport 0%, draw 0%, NAC Breda 100%

Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave NAC Breda 47% to win: they did.

  1. 39'NAC Breda:Charles-Andreas Brym 1745 +30 assist Moussa Soumano 1706 +34
  2. 55'NAC Breda:Moussa Soumano 1706 +34 (pen.)
  3. 58'Helmond Sport:Mauro Lenaerts 1233 0 for Dean·Huiberts 1644 −8
  4. 59'Helmond Sport:Lovro Golic 1109 0 for Flor Van Den Eynden 1560 −3
  5. 59'Helmond Sport:Joep van der Sluijs 1669 −5 for Kiton Ekoli 1290 0
  6. 64'Helmond Sport:Michel Simon Ludwig 1522 0
  7. 66'NAC Breda:Boyd Lucassen 1707 +12
  8. 70'Helmond Sport:Tijn Landheer 1383 0 for Thomas Poll 1610 −7
  9. 75'Helmond Sport:Labinot Bajrami 1572 −1 for Livio Cicero 1493 0
  10. 75'NAC Breda:Rio·Hillen 1791 +25
  11. 82'NAC Breda:Paul Gladon 1442 −11* for Moussa Soumano 1706 +34
  12. 82'NAC Breda:Karim Mperanyi for Maximilien Balard 1737 +29
  13. 89'NAC Breda:Imran Nazih 1287 −7* for Mohamed Nassoh 1725 +12
  14. 89'NAC Breda:Brahim Ghalidi – for Charles-Andreas Brym 1745 +30
  15. 89'NAC Breda:Mylan Brouwers 1413 +1 for Jan Van den Bergh 1694 +35

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Bergsen1591−19
DS. Dekkers1613−9
DB. Koglin1556−5
DF. Van Den Eynden1560−3
DT. Poll1610−7
MM. Ludwig15220
MXander van der Velde13680
ML. Cicero14930
MD. Huiberts1644−8
MT. Essakkati14750
FK. Ekoli12900
CFrédéric Frans1553−6
GM. Verrips1728+34
DB. Lucassen1707+12
DL. Greiml1751+31
DR. Hillen1791+25
DJ. Van den Bergh1694+35
MJ. Van Hecke1831+20
MM. Balard1737+29
MK. Sowah1706+13
MM. Nassoh1725+12
MC. Brym1745+30
FM. Soumano1706+34
CR. Kruijs1812+15
Before kick-off: 28% · 25% · 47%(Helmond Sport · draw · NAC Breda)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Helmond Sport €245K, NAC Breda €677K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Eerste Divisie matchday 11: 130 points.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Helmond Sport

17th in Eerste Divisie · 9 pts from 10

  • 9 OctLFC OSS 1497
  • 2 OctDHeracles 1532
  • 26 SepLMVV 1537
  • 18 SepLDen Bosch 1553
  • 11 SepWJong PSV U21 1512

NAC Breda

5th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 10

  • 9 OctWMVV 1677
  • 3 OctDVitesse 1711
  • 26 SepWFC Eindhoven 1690
  • 20 SepWDe Graafschap 1668
  • 11 SepLJong Utrecht 1587

Season outlook

From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Helmond Sport9 /1041.10%<1%49%20th
NAC Breda17 /1057.22%26%1%5th
Helmond Sport
NAC Breda

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eerste Divisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. Koglin
B. Koglin

Helmond Sport · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1561

M. Nassoh
M. Nassoh

NAC Breda · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1713

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Frédéric Frans

Coach DNA: –

Rick Kruys

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Helmond Sport: balanced profile (how Frédéric Frans plays) · NAC Breda: balanced profile (how Rick Kruys plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.