Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
Helmond Sport host FC Eindhoven on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Helmond Sport 43%, draw 28%, FC Eindhoven 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Helmond Sport €279K, FC Eindhoven €233K.
- FC Eindhoven's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Helmond Sport goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Helmond Sport 1518 · FC Eindhoven 1496
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Helmond Sport · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.2 (Average) · Elo 1591
FC Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1462
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Helmond Sport
17th in Eerste Divisie · 9 pts from 11
- 16 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1518
- 9 OctLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1497
- 2 OctDHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1532
- 26 SepLMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1537
- 18 SepLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1553
FC Eindhoven
16th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 11
- 16 OctLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1502
- 9 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1513
- 3 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1512
- 26 SepLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1505
- 18 SepWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1461
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 9 /11 | 39.4 | 0% | <1% | 56% | 20th |
| FC Eindhoven | 11 /11 | 41.0 | 0% | <1% | 47% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Helmond Sport: balanced profile (how Frédéric Frans plays) · FC Eindhoven: balanced profile (how Jan Poortvliet plays)