Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
Helmond Sport host Dordrecht on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Helmond Sport 39%, draw 29%, Dordrecht 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Helmond Sport €267K, Dordrecht €253K.
- Home advantage makes Helmond Sport the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Eerste Divisie): Helmond Sport rank #18 of 20, Dordrecht #2.
- Only 2 of Dordrecht's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Helmond Sport goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Helmond Sport 1515 · Dordrecht 1534
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Helmond Sport · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1528
Dordrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1683
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Helmond Sport
17th in Eerste Divisie · 12 pts from 13
- 30 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1448
- 27 OctLWillem II Netherlands KNVB Beker1467
- 23 OctLJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1488
- 16 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1518
- 9 OctLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1501
Dordrecht
19th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 13
- 2 NovLJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1539
- 28 OctLSC Genemuiden Netherlands KNVB Beker1508
- 24 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1536
- 9 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1540
- 3 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1564
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 12 /13 | 39.3 | 0% | 0% | 51% | 20th |
| Dordrecht | 11 /13 | 40.1 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Helmond Sport: balanced profile (how Frédéric Frans plays) · Dordrecht: balanced profile (how Paul Nuijten plays)