Serie B · Regular Season - 12
Hellas Verona vs Cesena
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Hellas Verona host Cesena on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hellas Verona 60%, draw 23%, Cesena 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hellas Verona €2.1M, Cesena €784K.
- Style contrast in possession (Serie B): Hellas Verona rank #20 of 20, Cesena #4.
- Hellas Verona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hellas Verona goals first.
- 1–013%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 3–07%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Hellas Verona 1841 · Cesena 1639
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hellas Verona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1551
Cesena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1752
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hellas Verona
7th in Serie B · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDMantova Italy Serie B1860
- 1 NovWCarrarese Italy Serie B1800
- 28 OctWJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1798
- 25 OctDPisa Italy Serie B1740
- 16 OctDCatanzaro Italy Serie B1768
Cesena
11th in Serie B · 15 pts from 11
- 7 NovWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1602
- 31 OctDSudtirol Italy Serie B1625
- 27 OctWEmpoli Italy Serie B1555
- 24 OctLModena Italy Serie B1629
- 18 OctDAvellino Italy Serie B1644
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 16 /11 | 60.7 | 2% | 48% | 0% | 3rd |
| Cesena | 15 /11 | 47.7 | 0% | 2% | 8% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hellas Verona: direct · high-pressing (how Marco Baroni plays) · Cesena: balanced profile (how Alessandro Diamanti plays)