Serie B · Regular Season - 7
Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Hellas VeronaTeam 1741CatanzaroTeam 1659- Daniel Mosquera 37', 67'
- Antonio Candela 11'
- Emanuele Pecorino 75' (pen)
We gave Hellas Verona 50% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 11'Antonio Candela 1682 +8* assist Marco Imperiale 1710 +5Catanzaro:Antonio Candela 1682 +8* assist Marco Imperiale 1710 +5
- Daniel Mosquera 1840 −2 assist Dailon Livramento 1778 037'Hellas Verona:Daniel Mosquera 1840 −2 assist Dailon Livramento 1778 0
- Dailon Livramento 1778 041'Hellas Verona:Dailon Livramento 1778 0
- 45'Franky Tchaouna 1456 +6 for Nicola Mosti 1720 +1Catanzaro:Franky Tchaouna 1456 +6 for Nicola Mosti 1720 +1
- 62'Gabriele Alesi 1700 +2 for Samuel Giovane 1672 −3*Catanzaro:Gabriele Alesi 1700 +2 for Samuel Giovane 1672 −3*
- M. Akalé 1544 −8* for Dailon Livramento 1778 063'Hellas Verona:M. Akalé 1544 −8* for Dailon Livramento 1778 0
- Daniel Mosquera 1840 −2 assist Amin Sarr 1860 −267'Hellas Verona:Daniel Mosquera 1840 −2 assist Amin Sarr 1860 −2
- 71'Simone Pafundi 1723 +1 for Federico Di Francesco 1663 +1Catanzaro:Simone Pafundi 1723 +1 for Federico Di Francesco 1663 +1
- 71'G. Arditi 1375 +3 for Pietro Lemmello 1720 −3Catanzaro:G. Arditi 1375 +3 for Pietro Lemmello 1720 −3
- Martin Frese 1956 −9* for Amin Sarr 1860 −272'Hellas Verona:Martin Frese 1956 −9* for Amin Sarr 1860 −2
- 75'Emanuele Pecorino 1570 +22 (pen.)Catanzaro:Emanuele Pecorino 1570 +22 (pen.)
- 76'Gabriele Alesi 1700 +2Catanzaro:Gabriele Alesi 1700 +2
- Abdou Harroui 1830 −9* for andrea le borgne 1455 078'Hellas Verona:Abdou Harroui 1830 −9* for andrea le borgne 1455 0
- Tobias Slotsager 1623 0 for Nicolo Calabrese 1800 078'Hellas Verona:Tobias Slotsager 1623 0 for Nicolo Calabrese 1800 0
- Salvatore Cerbone 1522 −8* for Davide De Battisti 1640 078'Hellas Verona:Salvatore Cerbone 1522 −8* for Davide De Battisti 1640 0
- 86'N'Dri Koffi 1594 −7* for Emanuele Pecorino 1570 +22Catanzaro:N'Dri Koffi 1594 −7* for Emanuele Pecorino 1570 +22
- 90+1'Marco Imperiale 1710 +5Catanzaro:Marco Imperiale 1710 +5
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 50% · 26% · 24%(Hellas Verona · draw · Catanzaro)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Hellas Verona €1.8M, Catanzaro €685K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie B): Hellas Verona ranked #21 of 21, Catanzaro #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hellas Verona
9th in Serie B · 7 pts from 6
- 11 OctLModena Italy Serie B1763
- 20 SepWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1800
- 11 SepLBenevento Italy Serie B1822
- 6 SepWArezzo Italy Serie B1836
- 3 SepWCagliari Italy Coppa Italia1725
Catanzaro
19th in Serie B · 3 pts from 6
- 11 OctLMantova Italy Serie B1736
- 19 SepLSampdoria Italy Serie B1744
- 12 SepWCarrarese Italy Serie B1689
- 5 SepLSudtirol Italy Serie B1707
- 30 AugLPisa Italy Serie B1677
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 7 /6 | 59.2 | 2% | 36% | <1% | 3rd |
| Catanzaro | 3 /6 | 46.8 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hellas Verona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1455
Catanzaro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1759
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hellas Verona: direct · high-pressing (how Marco Baroni plays) · Catanzaro: possession-based · low-block (how Giorgio Gorgone plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.