Serie B · Regular Season - 10
Hellas Verona vs Carrarese
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC
Hellas Verona host Carrarese on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hellas Verona 55%, draw 25%, Carrarese 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hellas Verona €1.9M, Carrarese €935K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie B): Hellas Verona rank #21 of 21, Carrarese #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hellas Verona goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Hellas Verona 1813 · Carrarese 1668
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hellas Verona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1860
Carrarese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1625
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hellas Verona
11th in Serie B · 8 pts from 7
- 16 OctDCatanzaro Italy Serie B1770
- 11 OctLModena Italy Serie B1763
- 20 SepWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1800
- 11 SepLBenevento Italy Serie B1822
- 6 SepWArezzo Italy Serie B1836
Carrarese
13th in Serie B · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctWModena Italy Serie B1656
- 11 OctWPadova Italy Serie B1620
- 19 SepLBenevento Italy Serie B1609
- 12 SepLCatanzaro Italy Serie B1589
- 5 SepLEmpoli Italy Serie B1646
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 8 /7 | 57.4 | 1% | 33% | 1% | 3rd |
| Carrarese | 7 /7 | 46.2 | 0% | 3% | 20% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hellas Verona: direct · high-pressing (how Marco Baroni plays) · Carrarese: balanced profile (how Guido Pagliuca plays)