A Lyga · Regular Season - 35
Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Hegelmann Litauen host Kauno Žalgiris on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (A Lyga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hegelmann Litauen 27%, draw 28%, Kauno Žalgiris 45%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hegelmann Litauen €223K, Kauno Žalgiris €336K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of A Lyga matchday 35: 195 points.
- All 11 of Kauno Žalgiris' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- R. Bagdonavičius, V. Radonja, B. Isaac, Wesley, M. Remeikis, V. Armanavičius, S. Gouet, D. Kazlauskas, R. Sadauskas and A. Kaulinis (Hegelmann Litauen) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hegelmann Litauen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Hegelmann Litauen 1352 · Kauno Žalgiris 1547
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kauno Žalgiris · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 (Poor) · Elo 1611
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hegelmann Litauen
8th in A Lyga · 26 pts from 30
- 16 JulLPaide UEFA Conference League1374
- 9 JulDPaide UEFA Conference League1403
- 29 MayLTransINVEST Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga1373
- 24 MayWFK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga1354
- 16 MayDSuduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga1328
Kauno Žalgiris
1st in A Lyga · 51 pts from 28
- 15 OctLBrighton UEFA Conference League1566
- 27 AugWBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1519
- 20 AugLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League1518
- 11 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1515
- 4 AugLDinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League1527
Season outlook
From the A Lyga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | 26 /30 | 28.1 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8th |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 51 /28 | 57.4 | 78% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –