Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Heerenveen 45%, draw 28%, NEC Nijmegen 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Heerenveen €2.0M, NEC Nijmegen €1.7M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Heerenveen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Heerenveen 1859 · NEC Nijmegen 1805
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Heerenveen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1959
NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1913
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Heerenveen
8th in Eredivisie · 12 pts from 9
- 16 OctWExcelsior Eredivisie1888
- 9 OctLPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1901
- 19 SepWSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie1867
- 13 SepDTelstar Eredivisie1867
- 6 SepLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1883
NEC Nijmegen
12th in Eredivisie · 10 pts from 9
- 18 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1842
- 15 OctDLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1844
- 10 OctDAjax Eredivisie1821
- 20 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1789
- 17 SepLJuventus UEFA Europa League1800
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 12 /9 | 46.4 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 7th |
| NEC Nijmegen | 10 /9 | 39.9 | 0% | <1% | 9% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Heerenveen: balanced profile (how Robin Veldman plays) · NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays)