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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Heerenveen crestHeerenveenTeam 1828
4–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Excelsior crestExcelsiorTeam 1699

Match story

Heerenveen · draw · Excelsior

Before kick-off: 53% · 25% · 23%

Live chances: Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 52%, draw 25%, Excelsior 23%2' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 52%, draw 25%, Excelsior 23%3' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 52%, draw 25%, Excelsior 23%4' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 52%, draw 25%, Excelsior 23%6' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 52%, draw 26%, Excelsior 23%8' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 51%, draw 26%, Excelsior 23%9' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 51%, draw 26%, Excelsior 23%10' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 51%, draw 26%, Excelsior 23%11' · 0–0 · Heerenveen 51%, draw 26%, Excelsior 23%12' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%14' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%15' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%16' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%17' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%18' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 8%19' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%20' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%21' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%22' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%23' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%24' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%25' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%26' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%27' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%28' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%29' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%30' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 16%, Excelsior 7%31' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%32' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%33' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%34' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%35' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%36' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 7%37' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%38' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%39' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%40' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%41' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%42' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%43' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%44' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%45' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%45+1' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%45+2' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%45+3' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%HT · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%46' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 6%47' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 77%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%48' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%49' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%50' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%51' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%52' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%53' · 1–0 · Heerenveen 78%, draw 17%, Excelsior 5%54' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 1%55' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 1%56' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 1%57' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%58' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%59' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 96%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%60' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%61' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%62' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%63' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%64' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%65' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 3%, Excelsior 0%66' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%67' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%68' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 97%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%69' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%70' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%71' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%72' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%73' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%74' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%75' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%76' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 2%, Excelsior 0%77' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 98%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%78' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%79' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%80' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%81' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%82' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%83' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%84' · 2–0 · Heerenveen 99%, draw 1%, Excelsior 0%85' · 3–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%86' · 3–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%87' · 3–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%88' · 3–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%89' · 4–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%90' · 4–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%90+1' · 4–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%90+2' · 4–0 · Heerenveen 100%, draw 0%, Excelsior 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Heerenveen 53% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Heerenveen:Dylan Vente 1869 +13 (pen.)
  2. 43'Excelsior:Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson 1539 0
  3. 45'Excelsior:Mario Domínguez Franco 1564 0 for David Garden 1602 0
  4. 54'Heerenveen:Oliver Johansen Braude 1980 +25 assist Jacob Trenskow 1982 +24
  5. 66'Excelsior:Ilano Silva Timas 1470 −8* for Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson 1539 0
  6. 66'Excelsior:Valentin Sulzbacher 1614 0 for Aymen sliti 1848 −13
  7. 66'Excelsior:Osman Turay 1455 −8* for Simon Janssen 1744 −4
  8. 73'Heerenveen:Marko Farji 1576 +6 for Maxence Rivera 1932 +9
  9. 77'Excelsior:Noah Naujoks 1821 −10* for Eric da Silva Moreira 1585 0
  10. 82'Heerenveen:Roberts Uldriķis 1628 +2 for Dylan Vente 1869 +13
  11. 82'Heerenveen:Ringo Meerveld 1884 +3 for Levi Smans 1916 +31
  12. 82'Heerenveen:Luca Oyen 1648 +6 for Nolhan courtens 1626 +27
  13. 84'Heerenveen:Luca Oyen 1648 +6 assist Ringo Meerveld 1884 +3
  14. 86'Heerenveen:Hristiyan Petrov 1797 +2 for Maas Willemsen 1959 +26
  15. 88'Heerenveen:Jacob Trenskow 1982 +24

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GB. Klaverboer1907+12
DO. Braude1980+25
DS. Kersten1970+25
DM. Willemsen1959+26
DV. Zagaritis1949+29
MM. Linday1959+28
MN. Courtens1626+27
MJ. Trenskow1982+24
ML. Smans1916+31
MM. Rivera1932+9
FD. Vente1869+13
CR. Veldeman1918+23
GS. van Gassel1845−18
DEric Emanuel da Silva Moreira15850
DC. Widell1830−16
DJ. Plug1818−14
DS. Janssen1744−4
MI. Yegoian1813−14
MR. Meissen1839−17
ML. Hartjes1829−16
FA. Sliti1848−13
FD. Garden16020
FÁ. Þorsteinsson15390
CR. den Uil1799−24
Before kick-off: 53% · 25% · 23%(Heerenveen · draw · Excelsior)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 4–0 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Heerenveen €2.1M, Excelsior €1.0M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Heerenveen

10th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 8

  • 9 OctLPSV Eindhoven 1901
  • 19 SepWSparta Rotterdam 1867
  • 13 SepDTelstar 1867
  • 6 SepLAZ Alkmaar 1883
  • 30 AugDWillem II 1884

Excelsior

9th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 8

  • 11 OctLGroningen 1781
  • 19 SepDAjax 1766
  • 13 SepLUtrecht 1771
  • 8 SepDNEC Nijmegen 1730
  • 5 SepWWillem II 1735

Season outlook

From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Heerenveen9 /844.20%1%2%7th
Excelsior11 /839.70%<1%9%11th
Heerenveen
Excelsior

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eredivisie

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Willemsen
M. Willemsen

Heerenveen · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1932

L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes

Excelsior · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1845

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Robin Veldman

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ruben den Uil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Heerenveen: balanced profile (how Robin Veldman plays) · Excelsior: balanced profile (how Ruben den Uil plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.