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Premiership · Regular Season - 8

Heart Of Midlothian 5–0 ST Mirren

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of MidlothianTeam 1699
5–0
Full time
HT 2–0
ST Mirren crestST MirrenTeam 1531

Match story

Heart Of Midlothian · draw · ST Mirren

Before kick-off: 56% · 26% · 18%

Live chances: Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 56%, draw 26%, ST Mirren 18%3' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 56%, draw 26%, ST Mirren 18%4' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 56%, draw 26%, ST Mirren 18%5' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 55%, draw 26%, ST Mirren 18%6' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 55%, draw 27%, ST Mirren 18%7' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 55%, draw 27%, ST Mirren 18%8' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 55%, draw 27%, ST Mirren 18%9' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 55%, draw 27%, ST Mirren 18%10' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 54%, draw 27%, ST Mirren 18%12' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 54%, draw 28%, ST Mirren 18%13' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 54%, draw 28%, ST Mirren 18%15' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 53%, draw 28%, ST Mirren 19%16' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 53%, draw 28%, ST Mirren 19%17' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 53%, draw 29%, ST Mirren 19%18' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 53%, draw 29%, ST Mirren 19%19' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 52%, draw 29%, ST Mirren 19%20' · 0–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 52%, draw 29%, ST Mirren 19%21' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%22' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%23' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%24' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%25' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%26' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%27' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%28' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%29' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%30' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%31' · 1–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 80%, draw 15%, ST Mirren 5%33' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 4%, ST Mirren 1%34' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 4%, ST Mirren 1%35' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 4%, ST Mirren 1%36' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 4%, ST Mirren 1%37' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 4%, ST Mirren 1%38' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%39' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%40' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%41' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%42' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%43' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%44' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%45' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 1%45+3' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%HT · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%47' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 96%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%48' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 97%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%49' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 97%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%50' · 2–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 97%, draw 3%, ST Mirren 0%51' · 3–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%52' · 3–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%53' · 3–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%54' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%55' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%56' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%57' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%58' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%59' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%60' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%61' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%62' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%63' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%64' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%65' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%66' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%67' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%68' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%69' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%70' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%71' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%72' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%73' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%74' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%75' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%76' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%77' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%78' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%79' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%80' · 4–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%81' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%82' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%83' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%84' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%85' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%86' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%87' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%88' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%89' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%90' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%90+1' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%90+2' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%90+3' · 5–0 · Heart Of Midlothian 100%, draw 0%, ST Mirren 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Heart Of Midlothian 56% to win: they did.

  1. 20'Heart Of Midlothian:Laurent mendy 1592 +73*
  2. 23'Heart Of Midlothian:Calvin Miller 1835 +16*
  3. 30'ST Mirren:Alexander Gogić 1630 −21*
  4. 32'Heart Of Midlothian:Calvin Miller 1835 +16* (pen.)
  5. 45'ST Mirren:Chris Mochrie 1430 −8*
  6. 45'ST Mirren:Jake Young – for Fraser Taylor 1258 −8*
  7. 45'ST Mirren:Luke Thomas 1625 −12* for Chris Mochrie 1430 −8*
  8. 45'ST Mirren:Liam Donnelly 1545 −10* for Ryan Carr 1402 −8*
  9. 50'Heart Of Midlothian:Calvin Miller 1835 +16* (pen.)
  10. 54'Heart Of Midlothian:Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 1937 +14* assist Calvin Miller 1835 +16*
  11. 56'Heart Of Midlothian:Sabah Kerjota 1642 +2* for Calvin Miller 1835 +16*
  12. 56'Heart Of Midlothian:Oisin McEntee 1968 −5* for Eduardo Ageu 1640 +35*
  13. 65'Heart Of Midlothian:Severin Sabri Guendouz 1677 −4*
  14. 65'Heart Of Midlothian:Wouter Vrancken
  15. 67'ST Mirren:Eseosa Sule 1445 −8* for Ismeal Kabia 1608 −12*
  16. 73'Heart Of Midlothian:Jerome Williams 1200 +1* for James wilson 1708 +9*
  17. 74'Heart Of Midlothian:Severin Sabri Guendouz 1677 −4* for Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 1937 +14*
  18. 80'Heart Of Midlothian:Josh Mcpake 1876 +33 assist Malachi Walcott 1266 +138*
  19. 82'Heart Of Midlothian:Stuart Findlay 1927 −9* for Josh Mcpake 1876 +33
  20. 82'ST Mirren:Marcus Fraser 1604 −12* for Calvin Ramsay 1470 −8*
  21. 90+1'ST Mirren:Killian Phillips 1635 −17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GB. Reus1913+3*
DJ. Altena1882+28*
DM. Fagan-Walcott1266+138*
DJ. McCart1871+20*
DH. Milne1830+5*
MAgeu1640+35*
ML. Mendy1592+73*
MC. Miller1835+16*
MCláudio Braga1937+14*
MJ. McPake1876+33
FJ. Wilson1708+9*
CW. Vrancken1971+8*
GJ. Chapman1685−22*
DC. Ramsay1470−8*
DA. Gogić1630−21*
DHenry Fieldson1512−8*
DD. John1566−13*
MR. Carr1402−8*
MP. Nsio1591−12*
MC. Mochrie1430−8*
MF. Taylor1258−8*
MIsmeal Kabia1608−12*
FN. Agrafiotis1654
CCraig McLeish1561−10*
Before kick-off: 56% · 26% · 18%(Heart Of Midlothian · draw · ST Mirren)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 5–0 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Heart Of Midlothian €886K, ST Mirren €323K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Premiership): Heart Of Midlothian ranked #3 of 12, ST Mirren #11.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Heart Of Midlothian

3rd in Premiership · 13 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDKilmarnock 1788
  • 15 SepLFalkirk 1819
  • 6 SepWDundee 1814
  • 3 SepWHibernian 1781
  • 29 AugWST Johnstone 1710

ST Mirren

5th in Premiership · 10 pts from 7

  • 19 SepLDundee Utd 1535
  • 9 SepLRangers 1487
  • 5 SepLCeltic 1536
  • 2 SepWKilmarnock 1490
  • 30 AugDMotherwell 1518

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Heart Of Midlothian13 /749.5<1%65%2%3rd
ST Mirren10 /734.80%2%58%11th
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. McPake
J. McPake

Heart Of Midlothian · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1842

J. Chapman
J. Chapman

ST Mirren · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1707

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Wouter Vrancken

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Craig McLeish

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays) · ST Mirren: direct (how Craig McLeish plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.