Premiership · Regular Season - 13
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Heart Of Midlothian host Falkirk on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Heart Of Midlothian 59%, draw 24%, Falkirk 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Heart Of Midlothian €993K, Falkirk €370K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Heart Of Midlothian goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
Team Elo: Heart Of Midlothian 1769 · Falkirk 1581
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1873
Falkirk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1655
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 9
- 22 OctLTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League1726
- 18 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1798
- 15 OctDFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League1771
- 10 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1736
- 19 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1788
Falkirk
9th in Premiership · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership1586
- 10 OctLDundee Scotland Premiership1621
- 19 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1611
- 15 SepWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1584
- 5 SepDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1579
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 16 /9 | 50.5 | <1% | 72% | 1% | 3rd |
| Falkirk | 9 /9 | 33.6 | 0% | 1% | 65% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays) · Falkirk: balanced profile (how John McGlynn plays)