Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Haverfordwest County AFC 1–2 Caernarfon Town
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Haverfordwest County AFCTeam 11741–2
Full time
Caernarfon TownTeam 1295We gave Caernarfon Town 39% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 32% · 29% · 39%(Haverfordwest County AFC · draw · Caernarfon Town)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Haverfordwest County AFC €62K, Caernarfon Town €86K.
- I. Knott, D. Rees, R. Abbruzzese, B. Ahmun, K. McCarthy, G. Walters, D. Hawkins, J. Bacon, Kyle Kenniford and P. Makwiramiti (Haverfordwest County AFC) had not played for over 90 days.
- Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen, J. Lock, D. Gosset, D. Smith, Kyle Harrison and Paulo Mendes (Caernarfon Town) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Haverfordwest County AFC
12th in Premier League · 10 pts from 12
- 3 AprWFlint Town United Wales Premier League1162
- 28 MarWBriton Ferry Wales Premier League1157
- 13 MarWCardiff MET Wales Premier League1130
- 1 MarLFlint Town United Wales Premier League1148
- 13 JanLBriton Ferry Wales Premier League1184
Caernarfon Town
5th in Premier League · 23 pts from 12
- 16 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1244
- 9 JulLFC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League1368
- 3 AprWColwyn Bay Wales Premier League1331
- 27 MarLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1203
- 13 MarLGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League1350
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 10 /12 | 27.2 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 10th |
| Caernarfon Town | 23 /12 | 46.1 | 1% | 69% | 0% | 4th |
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Tony Pennock
Coach DNA: –
Richard Owain Davies
Coach DNA: –