3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Havelse vs FC Viktoria Köln
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Havelse host FC Viktoria Köln on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Havelse 28%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Havelse €231K, FC Viktoria Köln €414K.
- FC Viktoria Köln are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Havelse goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Havelse 1410 · FC Viktoria Köln 1623
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Havelse · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1528
FC Viktoria Köln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1685
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Havelse
20th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 12
- 31 OctDFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1427
- 25 OctWFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1393
- 18 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1397
- 13 OctDWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1384
- 10 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1345
FC Viktoria Köln
1st in 3. Liga · 26 pts from 12
- 31 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1654
- 24 OctWVerl Germany 3 Liga1669
- 18 OctDMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1665
- 14 OctDSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1642
- 11 OctWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1644
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 10 /12 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 19th |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 26 /12 | 64.3 | 17% | 60% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Havelse: direct (how Samir Ferchichi plays) · FC Viktoria Köln: balanced profile (how Marian Wilhelm plays)