3. Liga · Regular Season - 11
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Havelse host FC Saarbrücken on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Havelse 22%, draw 26%, FC Saarbrücken 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Havelse €183K, FC Saarbrücken €396K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 11: 298 points.
- 3. Liga: A. Staff is the highest-rated forward (1815).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Havelse goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Havelse 1382 · FC Saarbrücken 1680
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Saarbrücken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1612
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Havelse
20th in 3. Liga · 6 pts from 10
- 18 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1397
- 13 OctDWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1387
- 10 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1346
- 25 SepLFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1393
- 15 SepLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1382
FC Saarbrücken
4th in 3. Liga · 17 pts from 10
- 17 OctWFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1656
- 13 OctLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1658
- 10 OctDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1645
- 19 SepWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1688
- 16 SepDPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1658
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 6 /10 | 32.0 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 20th |
| FC Saarbrücken | 17 /10 | 62.9 | 11% | 54% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Havelse: direct (how Samir Ferchichi plays) · FC Saarbrücken: balanced profile (how Argirios Giannikis plays)