3. Liga · Regular Season - 12
Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Havelse host FC Ingolstadt 04 on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Havelse 23%, draw 27%, FC Ingolstadt 04 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Havelse €183K, FC Ingolstadt 04 €408K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Havelse goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Havelse 1382 · FC Ingolstadt 04 1661
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Ingolstadt 04 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1730
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Havelse
20th in 3. Liga · 6 pts from 10
- 18 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1397
- 13 OctDWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1387
- 10 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1346
- 25 SepLFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1393
- 15 SepLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1382
FC Ingolstadt 04
9th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1665
- 14 OctWWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1630
- 11 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1644
- 19 SepLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1622
- 16 SepLHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1649
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 6 /10 | 32.0 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 20th |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 14 /10 | 58.9 | 4% | 29% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Havelse: direct (how Samir Ferchichi plays) · FC Ingolstadt 04: balanced profile (how Achim Beierlorzer plays)