Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 7
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0 Ironi Tiberias
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:45 UTC · Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel AvivTeam 1754Ironi TiberiasTeam 1384- Omri Altman 81' (pen)
We gave Hapoel Tel Aviv 72% to win: they did.
- Andrian Kraev –4'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Andrian Kraev –
- 10'Ziv Morgan –Ironi Tiberias:Ziv Morgan –
- Fernand Mayembo –19'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Fernand Mayembo –
- 35'junior nene bi gbamble –Ironi Tiberias:junior nene bi gbamble –
- 45'ariel cohen – for Guy Sanker –Ironi Tiberias:ariel cohen – for Guy Sanker –
- Marcus Coco –45+5'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Marcus Coco –
- stav torial – for Emmanuel Boateng –61'Hapoel Tel Aviv:stav torial – for Emmanuel Boateng –
- Daniel Dappa –61'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Daniel Dappa –
- 72'M. Badjie – for junior nene bi gbamble –Ironi Tiberias:M. Badjie – for junior nene bi gbamble –
- 72'Ghanam Case for Artur Miranyan –Ironi Tiberias:Ghanam Case for Artur Miranyan –
- Amit lemkin – for Roee alkokin –72'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Amit lemkin – for Roee alkokin –
- tal archel – for yam el kancepolsky –72'Hapoel Tel Aviv:tal archel – for yam el kancepolsky –
- tal archel –76'Hapoel Tel Aviv:tal archel –
- 78'Ido Sharon –Ironi Tiberias:Ido Sharon –
- Omri Altman – (pen.)81'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Omri Altman – (pen.)
- Daniel Dappa – for Omri Altman –86'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Daniel Dappa – for Omri Altman –
- Doron Leidner – for douglas owusu –86'Hapoel Tel Aviv:Doron Leidner – for douglas owusu –
- 87'Samir Farhud – for niv gotliebIroni Tiberias:Samir Farhud – for niv gotlieb
- 87'Chris Kouakou – for David Keltjens –Ironi Tiberias:Chris Kouakou – for David Keltjens –
Before kick-off (provisional): 72% · 18% · 10%(Hapoel Tel Aviv · draw · Ironi Tiberias)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Tel Aviv €1.2M, Ironi Tiberias €239K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligat Ha'al matchday 7: 370 points.
- Draw chance was 18%, below the Ligat Ha'al average of 25% this round.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3rd in Ligat Ha'al · 13 pts from 6
- 10 OctWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1748
- 18 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1730
- 14 SepLMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1803
- 7 SepWHapoel Ramat Gan Israeli Ligat Haal1773
- 3 SepWBeitar Jerusalem Israeli Ligat Haal1761
Ironi Tiberias
14th in Ligat Ha'al · 1 pts from 6
- 10 OctLHapoel Beer Sheva Israeli Ligat Haal1383
- 19 SepLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1358
- 15 SepDHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1362
- 5 SepWMaccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1425
- 29 AugLIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1378
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 13 /6 | 49.1 | 7% | 82% | 0% | 4th |
| Ironi Tiberias | 1 /6 | 17.6 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Tel Aviv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1783
Ironi Tiberias · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1439
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –