Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 8
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva host Beitar Jerusalem on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligat Ha'al); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hapoel Petah Tikva 19%, draw 25%, Beitar Jerusalem 56%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Petah Tikva €328K, Beitar Jerusalem €545K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hapoel Petah Tikva goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1436 · Beitar Jerusalem 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Hapoel Petah Tikva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1523

Beitar Jerusalem · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1781
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
12th in Ligat Ha'al · 4 pts from 7
- 17 OctLBnei Sakhnin Israeli Ligat Haal1486
- 10 OctDMaccabi Netanya Israeli Ligat Haal1464
- 18 SepLHapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1455
- 13 SepLHapoel Beer Sheva Israeli Ligat Haal1433
- 5 SepLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1411
Beitar Jerusalem
5th in Ligat Ha'al · 12 pts from 6
- 11 OctWHapoel Ramat Gan Israeli Ligat Haal1709
- 19 SepWHapoel Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1665
- 15 SepWMaccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1649
- 7 SepWBnei Sakhnin Israeli Ligat Haal1600
- 3 SepLHapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1674
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 /7 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 13th |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 12 /6 | 43.9 | 1% | 33% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –