Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 8
Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Hapoel Katamon host Hapoel Tel Aviv on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligat Ha'al); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hapoel Katamon 16%, draw 23%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Katamon €281K, Hapoel Tel Aviv €1.0M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hapoel Katamon goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Hapoel Katamon 1439 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1759
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Katamon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1581
Hapoel Tel Aviv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Good) · Elo 1871
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Katamon
9th in Ligat Ha'al · 7 pts from 7
- 18 OctLHapoel Beer Sheva Israeli Ligat Haal1443
- 12 OctLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1485
- 19 SepWMaccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1369
- 15 SepDIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1418
- 5 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1416
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3rd in Ligat Ha'al · 16 pts from 7
- 17 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1770
- 10 OctWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1748
- 18 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1730
- 14 SepLMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1803
- 7 SepWHapoel Ramat Gan Israeli Ligat Haal1773
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | 7 /7 | 25.1 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 11th |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 16 /7 | 50.0 | 8% | 85% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile