Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 6
Hapoel Haifa 2–1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Hapoel HaifaTeam 1524Maccabi Petah TikvaTeam 1418- Alon Turgeman 7'
- Israel Sali Pahima 90+4'
- Guy Deznet 70'
We gave Hapoel Haifa 47% to win: they did.
- Alon Turgeman – assist Shai Elias –7'Hapoel Haifa:Alon Turgeman – assist Shai Elias –
- 36'Ido Cohen – for Lior Kasa –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Ido Cohen – for Lior Kasa –
- Wahib·Habiballa – for C Diakité45'Hapoel Haifa:Wahib·Habiballa – for C Diakité
- C Diakité45+1'Hapoel Haifa:C Diakité
- 58'Bashar Abdach for Eitan Tibi –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Bashar Abdach for Eitan Tibi –
- 58'K. Spence – for Marko Rakonjac –Maccabi Petah Tikva:K. Spence – for Marko Rakonjac –
- Dor Malul – for Arial Mendy –69'Hapoel Haifa:Dor Malul – for Arial Mendy –
- Israel Sali Pahima – for Shai Elias –69'Hapoel Haifa:Israel Sali Pahima – for Shai Elias –
- 70'Guy Deznet –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Guy Deznet –
- 75'Aviv Salem –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Aviv Salem –
- 82'Dan Lee-Yam – for Liran Hazan –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Dan Lee-Yam – for Liran Hazan –
- 82'Itay Baruch – for Aviv Salem –Maccabi Petah Tikva:Itay Baruch – for Aviv Salem –
- Itai Zafrani – for Liran Rotman –82'Hapoel Haifa:Itai Zafrani – for Liran Rotman –
- Dario Župarić –90+2'Hapoel Haifa:Dario Župarić –
- Israel Sali Pahima – assist Noam Cohen –90+4'Hapoel Haifa:Israel Sali Pahima – assist Noam Cohen –
Before kick-off (provisional): 47% · 28% · 25%(Hapoel Haifa · draw · Maccabi Petah Tikva)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Haifa €237K, Maccabi Petah Tikva €238K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Ligat Ha'al): Hapoel Haifa ranked #1 of 11, Maccabi Petah Tikva #11.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Haifa
7th in Ligat Ha'al · 6 pts from 5
- 19 SepLBeitar Jerusalem Israeli Ligat Haal1554
- 14 SepWBnei Sakhnin Israeli Ligat Haal1512
- 7 SepDMaccabi Netanya Israeli Ligat Haal1507
- 2 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva Israeli Ligat Haal1504
- 30 AugDHapoel Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1495
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8th in Ligat Ha'al · 6 pts from 5
- 19 SepLHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1408
- 15 SepLBeitar Jerusalem Israeli Ligat Haal1411
- 5 SepLIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1432
- 29 AugWBnei Sakhnin Israeli Ligat Haal1413
- 10 MayDIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1423
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 6 /5 | 32.3 | 0% | 2% | 8% | 7th |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 6 /5 | 24.7 | 0% | <1% | 50% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Haifa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1569
Maccabi Petah Tikva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1335
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hapoel Haifa: balanced profile (how Haim Silvas plays) · Maccabi Petah Tikva: balanced profile (how Ziv Arie plays)