Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 10
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Toto Turner Stadium
Hapoel Beer Sheva host Hapoel Tel Aviv on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ligat Ha'al); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hapoel Beer Sheva 41%, draw 29%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.1M, Hapoel Tel Aviv €1.1M.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi is the highest-rated defender (1980).
- Style contrast in discipline (Ligat Ha'al): Hapoel Beer Sheva rank #2 of 11, Hapoel Tel Aviv #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hapoel Beer Sheva goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1805 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1763
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1957
Hapoel Tel Aviv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Good) · Elo 1871
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League1826
- 18 OctWHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1717
- 15 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1856
- 10 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1799
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3rd in Ligat Ha'al · 16 pts from 7
- 17 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1770
- 10 OctWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1748
- 18 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1730
- 14 SepLMaccabi Tel Aviv Israeli Ligat Haal1803
- 7 SepWHapoel Ramat Gan Israeli Ligat Haal1773
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 16 /7 | 51.6 | 15% | 89% | 0% | 3rd |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 16 /7 | 49.8 | 9% | 83% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hapoel Beer Sheva: creative (how Ran Kozuch plays) · Hapoel Tel Aviv: balanced profile (how E. Barda plays)