Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 7
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1 Hapoel Katamon
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Toto Turner Stadium, Beersheba
Hapoel Beer ShevaTeam 1805Hapoel KatamonTeam 1443- Igor Zlatanović 74'
- Igor Zlatanović 84' (pen)
- Vitalie Damașcan 35'
We gave Hapoel Beer Sheva 71% to win: they did.
- 35'Vitalie Damașcan – assist Christ Junior Tiehi –Hapoel Katamon:Vitalie Damașcan – assist Christ Junior Tiehi –
- Javon East – for Mohamad Abu Rumi –45'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Javon East – for Mohamad Abu Rumi –
- Lucas de Souza Ventura – for Eilel Peretz –45'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Lucas de Souza Ventura – for Eilel Peretz –
- Forson Amankwah – for Lucas de Souza Ventura –53'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Forson Amankwah – for Lucas de Souza Ventura –
- 63'Zuberu Sharani – for Vitalie Damașcan –Hapoel Katamon:Zuberu Sharani – for Vitalie Damașcan –
- Igor Zlatanović – for Hamode Kanaan –70'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Igor Zlatanović – for Hamode Kanaan –
- 72'Ofek nadir –Hapoel Katamon:Ofek nadir –
- 73'Li On Mizrahi – for N. Vrasana –Hapoel Katamon:Li On Mizrahi – for N. Vrasana –
- Igor Zlatanović –74'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Igor Zlatanović –
- 77'andrew idoko –Hapoel Katamon:andrew idoko –
- 79'Hamza Mohammed for Ilay Madmon –Hapoel Katamon:Hamza Mohammed for Ilay Madmon –
- 79'nati shafrau – for andrew idoko –Hapoel Katamon:nati shafrau – for andrew idoko –
- 82'Ofek nadir –Hapoel Katamon:Ofek nadir –
- Igor Zlatanović – (pen.)84'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Igor Zlatanović – (pen.)
- Adrián Ugarriza –85'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Adrián Ugarriza –
- 85'omer agvadish –Hapoel Katamon:omer agvadish –
- Ofir Davidzada –85'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Ofir Davidzada –
- Amit Ohana – for Adrián Ugarriza –90+6'Hapoel Beer Sheva:Amit Ohana – for Adrián Ugarriza –
Before kick-off (provisional): 71% · 18% · 11%(Hapoel Beer Sheva · draw · Hapoel Katamon)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.3M, Hapoel Katamon €264K.
- Draw chance was 18%, below the Ligat Ha'al average of 25% this round.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi was the highest-rated defender (1990).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 13 pts from 6
- 15 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1856
- 10 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1799
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
- 16 SepDDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1789
- 13 SepWHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1691
Hapoel Katamon
9th in Ligat Ha'al · 7 pts from 6
- 12 OctLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1485
- 19 SepWMaccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1369
- 15 SepDIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1418
- 5 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1416
- 29 AugLHapoel Petah Tikva Israeli Ligat Haal1441
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 13 /6 | 51.1 | 11% | 87% | 0% | 3rd |
| Hapoel Katamon | 7 /6 | 26.0 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1966
Hapoel Katamon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1587
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –