3. Liga · Regular Season - 13
Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Ostseestadion, Rostock
Hansa Rostock host SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hansa Rostock 69%, draw 19%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hansa Rostock €358K, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach €178K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 13: 312 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the 3. Liga average of 26% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hansa Rostock goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–08%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Hansa Rostock 1598 · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1286
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hansa Rostock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1529
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1591
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hansa Rostock
11th in 3. Liga · 16 pts from 12
- 31 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1541
- 24 OctDFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1552
- 17 OctLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1622
- 13 OctLSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1625
- 10 OctWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1604
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 12
- 1 NovLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1271
- 27 OctLFC Augsburg Germany DFB Pokal1375
- 24 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1377
- 17 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1296
- 14 OctDFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1217
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 16 /12 | 54.5 | 1% | 9% | 1% | 10th |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 12 /12 | 31.0 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –