3. Liga · Regular Season - 11
Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Ostseestadion, Rostock
Hansa Rostock host Fortuna Düsseldorf on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hansa Rostock 37%, draw 29%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hansa Rostock €403K, Fortuna Düsseldorf €598K.
- Home advantage makes Hansa Rostock the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- 3. Liga: A. Müller is the highest-rated midfielder (1834).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (3. Liga): Hansa Rostock rank #3 of 20, Fortuna Düsseldorf #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hansa Rostock goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Hansa Rostock 1604 · Fortuna Düsseldorf 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hansa Rostock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1696
Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1629
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hansa Rostock
6th in 3. Liga · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1619
- 13 OctLSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1619
- 10 OctWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1601
- 20 SepDRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1643
- 16 SepWStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1621
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctLFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1679
- 14 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1641
- 11 OctDVerl Germany 3 Liga1656
- 19 SepLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1667
- 15 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1664
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 15 /10 | 56.9 | 2% | 19% | 1% | 7th |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 14 /10 | 61.2 | 7% | 42% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hansa Rostock: balanced profile (how André Breitenreiter plays) · Fortuna Düsseldorf: balanced profile (how Alexander Ende plays)