2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12
Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Hannover 96 host SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Hannover 96 55%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Hannover 96 €1.4M, SpVgg Greuther Fürth €825K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Hannover 96 goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–09%
- 0–06%
- 3–16%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Hannover 96 1820 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1682
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hannover 96 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1892
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1663
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Hannover 96
11th in 2. Bundesliga · 12 pts from 11
- 8 NovD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1799
- 1 NovWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1809
- 28 OctL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany DFB Pokal1811
- 25 OctLEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1825
- 17 OctDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1827
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10th in 2. Bundesliga · 12 pts from 11
- 6 NovLDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1694
- 1 NovWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1680
- 25 OctLVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1709
- 17 OctWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1648
- 11 OctLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1663
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 12 /11 | 44.8 | 0% | 4% | 6% | 8th |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 12 /11 | 37.3 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Hannover 96: balanced profile (how Sandro Wagner plays) · SpVgg Greuther Fürth: balanced profile (how Heiko Vogel plays)